Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Ted Lutz              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.1919708    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Bethel                 CT M          ( 2-14, 62.3)    13- 4   
 408 H Immaculate Danbury     CT S          ( 8-10, 73.3)    13- 6   
 410 H New Milford            CT M          (11- 8, 81.2)    10-11  o
 415 A Weston                 CT S          (14- 8, 82.7)     6- 5   
 417 H Newtown                CT L          (16- 5, 86.5)     5-15   
 419 H Somers                 NY B  Sec 1   (11- 8, 89.2)     8-14   
 421 A Brookfield             CT M          ( 9- 9, 77.6)    11- 7   
 424 A New Fairfield          CT S          (23- 0, 93.7)     4-17   
 501 H Pomperaug              CT M          ( 6-10, 74.0)    14-10   
 503 A Putnam Valley          NY C  Sec 1   ( 9-11, 82.7)     5- 8   
 505 H Masuk-Monroe           CT L          (13- 6, 81.7)     9-11   
 507 A Bunnell-Stratford      CT M          ( 4-11, 64.6)    15- 3   
 510 A Fox Lane               NY B  Sec 1   ( 4-14, 79.9)     6-14   
 512 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 5-11, 70.5)    17- 3   
 513 A Glastonbury            CT L          (15- 5, 87.7)     6-11   
 515 H Stratford              CT S          ( 0-15, 60.6)    16- 4   
 520 A New Milford            CT M          (11- 8, 81.2)     5-11   
 531 A Granby                 CT S          (12- 7, 75.5)     6- 7  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Bethel                 13- 4       9    16          -1.00
   408 H Immaculate Danbury     13- 6       7     5           1.91
   410 H New Milford            10-11  o   -1    -2           1.85
   415 A Weston                  6- 5       1    -6    +++    7.10
   417 H Newtown                 5-15     -10    -8          -1.85
   419 H Somers                  8-14      -6   -10          n/a  
   421 A Brookfield             11- 7       4    -1    ++     5.03
   424 A New Fairfield           4-17     -13   -17           0.00
   501 H Pomperaug              14-10       4     4          -0.44
   503 A Putnam Valley           5- 8      -3    -6          n/a  
   505 H Masuk-Monroe            9-11      -2    -3           1.25
   507 A Bunnell-Stratford      15- 3      12    11           0.00
   510 A Fox Lane                6-14      -8    -3          n/a  
   512 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   17- 3      14     6    +      3.89
   513 A Glastonbury             6-11      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   515 H Stratford              16- 4      12    17           0.00
   520 A New Milford             5-11      -6    -4          -1.32
   531 A Granby                  6- 7  o   -1     1    -     -2.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Fox Lane                6-14      -8    -3    --         
   531 A Granby                  6- 7  o   -1     1    -     -2.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Weston                  6- 5       1    -6    +++    7.10
   419 H Somers                  8-14      -6   -10    ++         
   421 A Brookfield             11- 7       4    -1    ++     5.03
   513 A Glastonbury             6-11      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   503 A Putnam Valley           5- 8      -3    -6    +          
   512 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   17- 3      14     6    +      3.89
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.48 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.15 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/