Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   Brian Yerger          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.9574356    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 H Holly Springs          NC    4A      (14- 3, 89.2)     3-11   
 229 H SouthEast Raleigh      NC    4A      ( 0-13, 65.7)    11- 3   
 306 A W.G. Enloe             NC    4A      ( 5-13, 75.1)    14- 6   
 311 H Triton                 NC    3A/2A   ( 7- 9, 75.7)     8- 5   
 312 H Wilmington Laney       NC    4A      ( 9- 8, 83.8)     3- 7   
 314 H Greensboro Grimsley    NC    4A      (12- 7, 86.7)     3-11   
 318 H Green Hope             NC    4A      ( 9- 7, 86.3)     3-14   
 321 A Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 9- 7, 84.9)     3-11   
 325 H Panther Creek          NC    4A      ( 5-13, 73.6)     7- 6   
 328 A Wilmington Ashley      NC    4A      ( 4-11, 77.2)     3- 2  o
 329 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    4A      ( 1-12, 71.2)    13- 3   
 408 A Apex                   NC    4A      (20- 4, 94.3)     2-11   
 411 H Cary HS                NC    4A      (14- 5, 88.4)     2-14   
 415 A Millbrook              NC    Indep   ( 1-10, 67.6)     6- 1   
 416 H Wakefield              NC    4A      (15- 4, 90.6)     2- 9   
 418 A Green Hope             NC    4A      ( 9- 7, 86.3)     1- 0   
 422 H Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 9- 7, 84.9)     3-13   
 425 A Panther Creek          NC    4A      ( 5-13, 73.6)     8- 5   
 429 H Apex                   NC    4A      (20- 4, 94.3)     1- 9   
 502 H Cary HS                NC    4A      (14- 5, 88.4)     4- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Holly Springs           3-11      -8    -9           1.98
   229 H SouthEast Raleigh      11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00
   306 A W.G. Enloe             14- 6       8     2    ++     5.39
   311 H Triton                  8- 5       3     3          -0.54
   312 H Wilmington Laney        3- 7      -4    -4           0.52
   314 H Greensboro Grimsley     3-11      -8    -7          -0.57
   318 H Green Hope              3-14     -11    -6    -     -3.00
   321 A Cary-Middle Creek       3-11      -8    -7          -0.82
   325 H Panther Creek           7- 6       1     5    --    -4.70
   328 A Wilmington Ashley       3- 2  o    1     0           0.48
   329 A Wilmington New Hanover 13- 3      10     6    +      3.49
   408 A Apex                    2-11      -9   -16           1.00
   411 H Cary HS                 2-14     -12    -9          -0.89
   415 A Millbrook               6- 1       5    10    --    -5.00
   416 H Wakefield               2- 9      -7   -11    +      3.00
   422 H Cary-Middle Creek       3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.40
   425 A Panther Creek           8- 5       3     4          -1.12
   429 H Apex                    1- 9      -8   -15    +      2.00
   502 H Cary HS                 4- 6      -2    -9    +++    7.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Panther Creek           7- 6       1     5    --    -4.70
   415 A Millbrook               6- 1       5    10    --    -5.00
   422 H Cary-Middle Creek       3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.40
   229 H SouthEast Raleigh      11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00
   318 H Green Hope              3-14     -11    -6    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Cary HS                 4- 6      -2    -9    +++    7.11
   306 A W.G. Enloe             14- 6       8     2    ++     5.39
   329 A Wilmington New Hanover 13- 3      10     6    +      3.49
   416 H Wakefield               2- 9      -7   -11    +      3.00
   429 H Apex                    1- 9      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.47 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.85 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/