Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Cougars              Coach  =   John Hayden           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.9238358    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 229 H W.G. Enloe             NC    4A      ( 5-13, 75.1)    14- 0   
 311 H Durham Riverside       NC    4A      ( 5-16, 81.8)    17- 5   
 314 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (18- 5, 92.8)     9- 6   
 315 H Syosset                NY A  Sec 8   (17- 5, 99.4)     5-11   
 318 A Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 9- 7, 84.9)    12- 1   
 320 A Panther Creek          NC    4A      ( 5-13, 73.6)    13- 0   
 325 H Cary HS                NC    4A      (14- 5, 88.4)    10- 1   
 328 H Grayslake North        IL    NorSub  ( 7-12, 78.3)    13- 0   
 401 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    4A      (17- 5, 90.1)     9-10  o
 402 A Wilmington Laney       NC    4A      ( 9- 8, 83.8)    13- 4   
 408 H Athens Drive           NC    4A      ( 9-11, 78.5)    11- 2   
 411 A Green Hope             NC    4A      ( 9- 7, 86.3)    15- 7   
 415 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (16- 5, 89.0)     4- 3   
 418 H Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 9- 7, 84.9)    10- 8   
 421 H Wakefield              NC    4A      (15- 4, 90.6)    14- 5   
 422 H Panther Creek          NC    4A      ( 5-13, 73.6)    13- 2   
 425 A Cary HS                NC    4A      (14- 5, 88.4)     8- 4   
 429 A Athens Drive           NC    4A      ( 9-11, 78.5)     9- 1   
 430 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (20- 2, 98.4)     9-11   
 501 H Green Hope             NC    4A      ( 9- 7, 86.3)    11- 6   
 506 H R.J. Reynolds          NC    4A      ( 9- 8, 81.9)    11- 3   
 509 H Greensboro Grimsley    NC    4A      (12- 7, 86.7)     9- 3   
 514 H Greensboro Page        NC    4A      (13- 3, 93.6)     9- 3   
 517 N Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (20- 2, 98.4)     8-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 H W.G. Enloe             14- 0      14    19           0.00
   311 H Durham Riverside       17- 5      12    13           0.00
   314 H East Chapel Hill        9- 6       3     2           0.71
   315 H Syosset                 5-11      -6    -4          n/a  
   318 A Cary-Middle Creek      12- 1      11     8           1.39
   320 A Panther Creek          13- 0      13    19           0.00
   325 H Cary HS                10- 1       9     6    +      2.32
   328 H Grayslake North        13- 0      13    16          n/a  
   401 A Wilmington Hoggard      9-10  o   -1     3    --    -4.34
   402 A Wilmington Laney       13- 4       9     9          -0.69
   408 H Athens Drive           11- 2       9    16          -1.00
   411 A Green Hope             15- 7       8     7           0.79
   415 A Cardinal Gibbons        4- 3       1     4    -     -3.44
   418 H Cary-Middle Creek      10- 8       2    10    ---   -8.00
   421 H Wakefield              14- 5       9     4    ++     4.52
   422 H Panther Creek          13- 2      11    21           0.00
   425 A Cary HS                 8- 4       4     5          -1.10
   429 A Athens Drive            9- 1       8    15    -     -2.00
   430 A Chapel Hill             9-11      -2    -4    +      2.92
   501 H Green Hope             11- 6       5     8    -     -3.80
   506 H R.J. Reynolds          11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00
   509 H Greensboro Grimsley     9- 3       6     8    -     -2.36
   514 H Greensboro Page         9- 3       6     1    ++     4.53
   517 N Chapel Hill             8-12      -4    -4           0.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Cary-Middle Creek      10- 8       2    10    ---   -8.00
   401 A Wilmington Hoggard      9-10  o   -1     3    --    -4.34
   415 A Cardinal Gibbons        4- 3       1     4    -     -3.44
   429 A Athens Drive            9- 1       8    15    -     -2.00
   501 H Green Hope             11- 6       5     8    -     -3.80
   506 H R.J. Reynolds          11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00
   509 H Greensboro Grimsley     9- 3       6     8    -     -2.36

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Wakefield              14- 5       9     4    ++     4.52
   514 H Greensboro Page         9- 3       6     1    ++     4.53
   325 H Cary HS                10- 1       9     6    +      2.32
   430 A Chapel Hill             9-11      -2    -4    +      2.92
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.27 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.45 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.205.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 20- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/