Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Golden Warrior       Coach  =   Wayne Puglisi         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.2515717    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Newton South           MA 1          ( 4-16, 76.7)     8- 3   
 401 H Dracut                 MA 2          ( 2-16, 71.7)    19- 1   
 404 A Chelmsford             MA 1          (12- 9, 86.1)     6- 3   
 407 H Bishop Guertin         NH 1          (18- 2, 99.9)     7-17   
 409 A Haverhill              MA 1          ( 7-10, 78.4)    15- 3   
 412 A Beverly                MA 1          ( 9-10, 78.4)    13- 1   
 415 A Central Catholic       MA 2          (13- 8, 84.4)    18- 7   
 418 H Billerica              MA 1          (17- 5, 95.7)     8- 9   
 421 H North Andover          MA 2          (17- 5, 88.2)     7- 4   
 424 H Lexington HS           MA 1          (15- 5, 90.4)     2- 8   
 429 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (16- 6, 94.9)     7-12   
 502 H Chelmsford             MA 1          (12- 9, 86.1)    11- 4   
 505 A Masconomet             MA 2          (15- 6, 86.8)    10- 6   
 507 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          (10- 9, 81.9)    10- 3   
 513 A Lowell                 MA 1          (14- 7, 86.8)     8- 4   
 515 A Billerica              MA 1          (17- 5, 95.7)     9- 8   
 519 H Waltham                MA 1          (13- 8, 88.7)    14-10   
 521 H Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1          (12- 7, 89.8)     8-11   
 531 H Peabody                MA 1          (14- 6, 85.4)    13- 2   
 605 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (18- 3, 96.7)    13-14  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Newton South            8- 3       5    15    --    -5.00
   401 H Dracut                 19- 1      18    20           0.00
   404 A Chelmsford              6- 3       3     4          -1.55
   407 H Bishop Guertin          7-17     -10    -7          n/a  
   409 A Haverhill              15- 3      12    12           0.00
   412 A Beverly                13- 1      12    12           0.00
   415 A Central Catholic       18- 7      11     6    +      3.69
   418 H Billerica               8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.16
   421 H North Andover           7- 4       3     4          -1.32
   424 H Lexington HS            2- 8      -6     2    ---   -8.13
   429 H Xaverian Bros           7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.66
   502 H Chelmsford             11- 4       7     6           0.59
   505 A Masconomet             10- 6       4     3           0.19
   507 A Tewksbury Memorial     10- 3       7     8          -1.76
   513 A Lowell                  8- 4       4     3           0.14
   515 A Billerica               9- 8       1    -5    +++    6.02
   519 H Waltham                14-10       4     3           0.13
   521 H Lincoln-Sudbury         8-11      -3     2    --    -5.68
   531 H Peabody                13- 2      11     7    +      2.88
   605 A St Johns Prep Danvers  13-14  o   -1    -6    ++     5.02

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Lexington HS            2- 8      -6     2    ---   -8.13
   327 H Newton South            8- 3       5    15    --    -5.00
   521 H Lincoln-Sudbury         8-11      -3     2    --    -5.68
   407 H Bishop Guertin          7-17     -10    -7    -          
   429 H Xaverian Bros           7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Billerica               9- 8       1    -5    +++    6.02
   605 A St Johns Prep Danvers  13-14  o   -1    -6    ++     5.02
   415 A Central Catholic       18- 7      11     6    +      3.69
   418 H Billerica               8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.16
   531 H Peabody                13- 2      11     7    +      2.88
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.59 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.76 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/