Region = VA    Nationl          
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Greg Beer             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.5379562    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 4-10, 83.7)    11- 7   
 320 H Hayfield               VA    Patriot (12- 5, 91.8)     8- 7 2o
 322 A Fairfax                VA    Concord ( 2-10, 79.6)     9- 3   
 324 A Herndon                VA    Concord ( 5- 7, 86.3)    11- 8   
 327 A Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl ( 4-10, 74.9)    15- 3   
 331 H Edison                 VA    Nationl ( 4-12, 76.6)    14- 1   
 404 A Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 2-12, 75.8)     8- 0   
 411 N Lakota West            OH 1  Reg 4   (12- 5, 89.9)     8- 8   
 412 N Westerville North      OH 1  Reg 1   ( 3-13, 78.5)    12- 7   
 417 H T.C. Williams          VA    Patriot (11- 4, 89.1)     7- 4   
 420 H J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 7- 6, 81.2)    16- 3   
 425 H Falls Church           VA    Nationl ( 7- 6, 87.0)     6- 3   
 428 A Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 0-14, 62.5)    16- 0   
 510 N Edison                 VA    Nationl ( 4-12, 76.6)     8- 2   
 512 N Loudoun Valley         VA    Dulles  (13- 4, 99.5)    11- 8   
 516 N Chantilly              VA    Concord ( 7- 7, 90.5)     4- 3   
 518 N Langley                VA    Liberty (13- 5, 97.5)     6-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A McLean                 11- 7       4     9    --    -5.80
   320 H Hayfield                8- 7 2o    1     1          -0.86
   322 A Fairfax                 9- 3       6    13    --    -4.00
   324 A Herndon                11- 8       3     7    --    -4.20
   327 A Washington-Lee         15- 3      12    18           0.00
   331 H Edison                 14- 1      13    17           0.00
   404 A Mount Vernon            8- 0       8    17    -     -2.00
   411 N Lakota West             8- 8       0     3          n/a  
   412 N Westerville North      12- 7       5    15          n/a  
   417 H T.C. Williams           7- 4       3     4          -1.53
   420 H J.E.B. Stuart          16- 3      13    12           0.00
   425 H Falls Church            6- 3       3     6    -     -3.62
   428 A Wakefield HS           16- 0      16    30           0.00
   510 N Edison                  8- 2       6    17    --    -4.00
   512 N Loudoun Valley         11- 8       3    -5          n/a  
   516 N Chantilly               4- 3       1     3    -     -2.05
   518 N Langley                 6-16     -10    -3    ---   -6.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 N Langley                 6-16     -10    -3    ---   -6.14
   316 A McLean                 11- 7       4     9    --    -5.80
   322 A Fairfax                 9- 3       6    13    --    -4.00
   324 A Herndon                11- 8       3     7    --    -4.20
   412 N Westerville North      12- 7       5    15    --         
   510 N Edison                  8- 2       6    17    --    -4.00
   404 A Mount Vernon            8- 0       8    17    -     -2.00
   411 N Lakota West             8- 8       0     3    -          
   425 H Falls Church            6- 3       3     6    -     -3.62
   516 N Chantilly               4- 3       1     3    -     -2.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 N Loudoun Valley         11- 8       3    -5    +++        
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.59 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.27 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/