Conf = SCIAC Region = CT L Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Scott BasileGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.7272949 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 A East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 84.4) 13-10 412 A Cheshire HS CT L ( 9-11, 81.7) 12-13 415 H Conard-West Hartford CT M ( 6-10, 79.1) 7- 6 418 H Hamden CT L ( 8-10, 76.1) 13- 7 420 H Guilford CT M ( 8-10, 78.9) 15- 6 422 A Fitch-Groton CT L ( 7-11, 70.1) 14- 4 425 H Amity Regional CT L ( 8- 9, 79.0) 12- 4 502 A Shelton CT L ( 4-12, 66.9) 13- 2 506 A Suffield HS CT S ( 6-11, 67.7) 18- 8 509 H Daniel Hand-Madison CT M (20- 3, 95.1) 8-12 511 A Fairfield Prep CT L (16- 7, 90.1) 2-15 516 A Branford CT M (13- 6, 85.8) 6-14 518 H West Haven CT L ( 4-12, 66.1) 18- 3 522 A West Haven CT L ( 4-12, 66.1) 15- 4 523 A North Haven CT M ( 8- 9, 74.4) 12- 4 527 A Cheshire HS CT L ( 9-11, 81.7) 11-12 o 603 H South Windsor CT L ( 8-10, 79.3) 7- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A East Lyme 13-10 3 -2 ++ 5.19 412 A Cheshire HS 12-13 -1 0 -1.46 415 H Conard-West Hartford 7- 6 1 5 -- -4.59 418 H Hamden 13- 7 6 8 - -2.52 420 H Guilford 15- 6 9 5 + 3.19 422 A Fitch-Groton 14- 4 10 12 0.00 425 H Amity Regional 12- 4 8 5 + 2.30 502 A Shelton 13- 2 11 15 0.00 506 A Suffield HS 18- 8 10 14 0.00 509 H Daniel Hand-Madison 8-12 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 511 A Fairfield Prep 2-15 -13 -7 - -2.06 516 A Branford 6-14 -8 -3 -- -4.40 518 H West Haven 18- 3 15 18 0.00 522 A West Haven 15- 4 11 16 0.00 523 A North Haven 12- 4 8 7 0.18 527 A Cheshire HS 11-12 o -1 0 -1.46 603 H South Windsor 7- 9 -2 5 --- -7.32UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 603 H South Windsor 7- 9 -2 5 --- -7.32 415 H Conard-West Hartford 7- 6 1 5 -- -4.59 516 A Branford 6-14 -8 -3 -- -4.40 418 H Hamden 13- 7 6 8 - -2.52 511 A Fairfield Prep 2-15 -13 -7 - -2.06OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 509 H Daniel Hand-Madison 8-12 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 407 A East Lyme 13-10 3 -2 ++ 5.19 420 H Guilford 15- 6 9 5 + 3.19 425 H Amity Regional 12- 4 8 5 + 2.30/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.43 Local Power Rank........... 19 Local SOS Rating......... 54.52 Local SOS Rank............. 35 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 22 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 71 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 23 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7