Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Basile          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7272949    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 84.4)    13-10   
 412 A Cheshire HS            CT L          ( 9-11, 81.7)    12-13   
 415 H Conard-West Hartford   CT M          ( 6-10, 79.1)     7- 6   
 418 H Hamden                 CT L          ( 8-10, 76.1)    13- 7   
 420 H Guilford               CT M          ( 8-10, 78.9)    15- 6   
 422 A Fitch-Groton           CT L          ( 7-11, 70.1)    14- 4   
 425 H Amity Regional         CT L          ( 8- 9, 79.0)    12- 4   
 502 A Shelton                CT L          ( 4-12, 66.9)    13- 2   
 506 A Suffield HS            CT S          ( 6-11, 67.7)    18- 8   
 509 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (20- 3, 95.1)     8-12   
 511 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (16- 7, 90.1)     2-15   
 516 A Branford               CT M          (13- 6, 85.8)     6-14   
 518 H West Haven             CT L          ( 4-12, 66.1)    18- 3   
 522 A West Haven             CT L          ( 4-12, 66.1)    15- 4   
 523 A North Haven            CT M          ( 8- 9, 74.4)    12- 4   
 527 A Cheshire HS            CT L          ( 9-11, 81.7)    11-12  o
 603 H South Windsor          CT L          ( 8-10, 79.3)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A East Lyme              13-10       3    -2    ++     5.19
   412 A Cheshire HS            12-13      -1     0          -1.46
   415 H Conard-West Hartford    7- 6       1     5    --    -4.59
   418 H Hamden                 13- 7       6     8    -     -2.52
   420 H Guilford               15- 6       9     5    +      3.19
   422 A Fitch-Groton           14- 4      10    12           0.00
   425 H Amity Regional         12- 4       8     5    +      2.30
   502 A Shelton                13- 2      11    15           0.00
   506 A Suffield HS            18- 8      10    14           0.00
   509 H Daniel Hand-Madison     8-12      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   511 A Fairfield Prep          2-15     -13    -7    -     -2.06
   516 A Branford                6-14      -8    -3    --    -4.40
   518 H West Haven             18- 3      15    18           0.00
   522 A West Haven             15- 4      11    16           0.00
   523 A North Haven            12- 4       8     7           0.18
   527 A Cheshire HS            11-12  o   -1     0          -1.46
   603 H South Windsor           7- 9      -2     5    ---   -7.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   603 H South Windsor           7- 9      -2     5    ---   -7.32
   415 H Conard-West Hartford    7- 6       1     5    --    -4.59
   516 A Branford                6-14      -8    -3    --    -4.40
   418 H Hamden                 13- 7       6     8    -     -2.52
   511 A Fairfield Prep          2-15     -13    -7    -     -2.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Daniel Hand-Madison     8-12      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   407 A East Lyme              13-10       3    -2    ++     5.19
   420 H Guilford               15- 6       9     5    +      3.19
   425 H Amity Regional         12- 4       8     5    +      2.30
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.43 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.52 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    71
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/