Region = PA LL04 Nickname = A Warriors Coach = Edgar LobleyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.1355286 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 323 H York Suburban PA York 1 ( 4- 9, 74.6) 14- 7 325 A Palmyra PA Mid 1 ( 4-11, 78.5) 7- 6 328 H Manheim Township PA LL04 (23- 5, 99.9) 5-13 330 H Lancaster Country Day PA LL04 (14- 7, 91.9) 8- 9 401 H Daniel Boone PA Indep ( 3- 5, 73.0) 9- 4 404 H Central York PA York 1 ( 1- 8, 68.5) 17- 1 406 A Ephrata PA LL04 (13- 6, 89.0) 6- 9 411 A Cocalico PA LL04 ( 1-10, 72.4) 14- 2 413 A Hempfield PA LL04 (15-10, 93.8) 4-13 418 A Lower Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 9- 8, 85.2) 10- 3 420 A Elizabethtown PA LL04 ( 0-12, 72.4) 13- 1 425 H Penn Manor PA LL04 ( 3-10, 79.7) 9- 6 427 A Conestoga Valley PA LL04 ( 9-10, 86.1) 11-10 2o 502 A Lampeter-Strasburg PA LL04 (11- 7, 85.7) 9- 7 504 H Ephrata PA LL04 (13- 6, 89.0) 8-13 509 A Hershey PA Mid 1 (13- 8, 86.8) 6-10 511 H Elizabethtown PA LL04 ( 0-12, 72.4) 10- 2 516 H Lampeter-Strasburg PA LL04 (11- 7, 85.7) 5- 3 519 A Manheim Township PA LL04 (23- 5, 99.9) 1-14 523 A South-Western PA York 1 (10- 5, 86.4) 12- 6 526 A Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 (15- 6, 93.3) 6- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 H York Suburban 14- 7 7 14 - -3.00 325 A Palmyra 7- 6 1 8 --- -7.51 328 H Manheim Township 5-13 -8 -11 + 2.00 330 H Lancaster Country Day 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.06 401 H Daniel Boone 9- 4 5 15 n/a 404 H Central York 17- 1 16 20 0.00 406 A Ephrata 6- 9 -3 -2 -0.98 411 A Cocalico 14- 2 12 14 0.00 413 A Hempfield 4-13 -9 -6 - -2.23 418 A Lower Dauphin 10- 3 7 1 ++ 5.18 420 A Elizabethtown 13- 1 12 14 0.00 425 H Penn Manor 9- 6 3 9 --- -6.11 427 A Conestoga Valley 11-10 2o 1 0 0.07 502 A Lampeter-Strasburg 9- 7 2 1 0.66 504 H Ephrata 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.78 509 A Hershey 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.24 511 H Elizabethtown 10- 2 8 16 - -2.00 516 H Lampeter-Strasburg 5- 3 2 3 -1.14 519 A Manheim Township 1-14 -13 -12 0.00 523 A South-Western 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.39 526 A Cumberland Valley 6- 7 -1 -6 ++ 5.28UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Palmyra 7- 6 1 8 --- -7.51 425 H Penn Manor 9- 6 3 9 --- -6.11 401 H Daniel Boone 9- 4 5 15 -- 504 H Ephrata 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.78 509 A Hershey 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.24 323 H York Suburban 14- 7 7 14 - -3.00 413 A Hempfield 4-13 -9 -6 - -2.23 511 H Elizabethtown 10- 2 8 16 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Lower Dauphin 10- 3 7 1 ++ 5.18 523 A South-Western 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.39 526 A Cumberland Valley 6- 7 -1 -6 ++ 5.28 328 H Manheim Township 5-13 -8 -11 + 2.00 330 H Lancaster Country Day 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.06/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.91 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 66.09 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 32 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 9 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.4 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7