Region = MD 21 West Nickname = D Falcons Coach = Sal PicataggiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.7502365 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 324 A Urbana MD 32 West (13- 5, 92.6) 8- 7 330 A Century MD 21 West ( 3- 9, 82.8) 6- 5 o 404 A Westminster MD 43 North (13- 5, 93.9) 8-13 407 H North Carroll MD 43 North ( 8-10, 86.0) 11- 6 411 H South Carroll MD 21 West (14- 4, 91.3) 13-12 415 A Friends MD A MIAA ( 6- 9, 81.8) 9-10 415 H Bishop O'Connell DC WCAC ( 7-12, 86.3) 12- 4 420 H Liberty MD 21 West (12- 4, 93.5) 8- 9 425 H Walkersville MD 32 West (12- 4, 89.7) 17- 6 427 A Frederick MD 21 West ( 3-10, 75.3) 15- 5 428 H Glenelg HS MD 32 South (12- 2, 92.6) 5- 6 501 A Pikesville MD 21 North ( 6-11, 80.4) 15- 3 504 H Francis Scott Key MD 21 West ( 8- 7, 88.8) 4- 3 o 508 A Loch Raven MD 21 North (13- 4, 90.6) 9- 8 o 511 H Century MD 21 West ( 3- 9, 82.8) 9- 7 513 A Smithsburg MD 21 West (11- 4, 84.3) 17- 4 515 A Liberty MD 21 West (12- 4, 93.5) 9- 5 517 A South Carroll MD 21 West (14- 4, 91.3) 3-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Urbana 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.05 330 A Century 6- 5 o 1 8 --- -7.79 404 A Westminster 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.68 407 H North Carroll 11- 6 5 6 -1.56 411 H South Carroll 13-12 1 1 -0.34 415 A Friends 9-10 -1 9 n/a 415 H Bishop O'Connell 12- 4 8 6 n/a 420 H Liberty 8- 9 -1 0 -0.15 425 H Walkersville 17- 6 11 2 +++ 7.14 427 A Frederick 15- 5 10 16 0.00 428 H Glenelg HS 5- 6 -1 0 -0.99 501 A Pikesville 15- 3 12 11 0.00 504 H Francis Scott Key 4- 3 o 1 3 - -2.82 508 A Loch Raven 9- 8 o 1 0 0.06 511 H Century 9- 7 2 9 --- -7.84 513 A Smithsburg 17- 4 13 7 + 2.75 515 A Liberty 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.90 517 A South Carroll 3-15 -12 0 --- -10.29UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 A Century 6- 5 o 1 8 --- -7.79 415 A Friends 9-10 -1 9 --- 511 H Century 9- 7 2 9 --- -7.84 517 A South Carroll 3-15 -12 0 --- -10.29 404 A Westminster 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.68 504 H Francis Scott Key 4- 3 o 1 3 - -2.82OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Walkersville 17- 6 11 2 +++ 7.14 515 A Liberty 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.90 324 A Urbana 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.05 513 A Smithsburg 17- 4 13 7 + 2.75/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.08 Local Power Rank........... 15 Local SOS Rating......... 72.37 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 134 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 19 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7