Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Spartans             Coach  =   Matt Smart            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.7235184    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 N Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 85.7)     9-10  o
 407 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 5, 96.1)     8- 9 3o
 410 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (11-10, 88.9)     6- 5 2o
 412 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 84.4)     8- 5   
 418 H Watertown IHC          NY C  Sec 3   (17- 3, 93.4)     2-13   
 425 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (14- 6, 93.5)     5- 6   
 427 H Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-15, 70.7)    16- 3   
 501 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 85.1)    11- 6   
 503 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 82.0)     8- 7   
 505 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (17- 3, 97.3)     9-11   
 509 A North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-14, 65.2)    16- 1   
 511 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 85.9)    12- 7   
 515 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-12, 72.1)    16- 3   
 517 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     5-12   
 519 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 78.9)    15- 4   
 522 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (10- 9, 86.0)     6- 4   
 526 N West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 85.1)    11- 8   
 530 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 N Iroquois                9-10  o   -1     4    --    -5.21
   407 A Amherst                 8- 9 3o   -1    -7    +++    6.18
   410 A Hamburg                 6- 5 2o    1     0           0.93
   412 A Sweet Home              8- 5       3     4          -1.52
   418 H Watertown IHC           2-13     -11    -2          n/a  
   425 H Frontier                5- 6      -1    -2           1.54
   427 H Jamestown              16- 3      13    20           0.00
   501 A West Seneca West       11- 6       5     3           1.15
   503 A Lancaster               8- 7       1     6    --    -5.99
   505 A Niagara Wheatfield      9-11      -2    -8    +++    6.38
   509 A North Tonawanda        16- 1      15    23           0.00
   511 H Clarence               12- 7       5     5          -0.02
   515 H Lockport               16- 3      13    18           0.00
   517 H Orchard Park            5-12      -7    -8           1.94
   519 A Williamsville South    15- 4      11    10           0.00
   522 H Williamsville East      6- 4       2     4    -     -2.96
   526 N West Seneca West       11- 8       3     4          -1.85
   530 A Orchard Park            6-10      -4   -10    +++    6.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Watertown IHC           2-13     -11    -2    ---        
   403 N Iroquois                9-10  o   -1     4    --    -5.21
   503 A Lancaster               8- 7       1     6    --    -5.99
   522 H Williamsville East      6- 4       2     4    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Amherst                 8- 9 3o   -1    -7    +++    6.18
   505 A Niagara Wheatfield      9-11      -2    -8    +++    6.38
   530 A Orchard Park            6-10      -4   -10    +++    6.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.96 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.44 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/