Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Vic Guadagnino        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.7652588    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 68.0)    12- 2   
 328 A Half Hollow Hills West NY B  Sec 11  (12- 6, 83.8)     7- 8  o
 401 A St Mary's              NY    Cath    ( 1-17, 73.4)    11- 3   
 405 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 84.6)     6- 7   
 407 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 73.9)     8- 7  o
 411 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.4)     3-12   
 419 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 76.2)    10-12   
 421 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 86.6)     4-10   
 425 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (23- 0, 99.4)     6-18   
 427 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 77.5)     8- 4   
 501 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 66.3)    12- 3   
 503 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 83.8)     8- 4   
 505 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 79.2)     9- 8  o
 509 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 76.2)     3- 4   
 511 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 73.6)    11- 6   
 515 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 91.0)     5-17   
 517 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 74.1)     9- 7   
 523 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 79.2)     9- 8 2o
 525 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (23- 0, 99.4)     0-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Deer Park              12- 2      10    11           0.00
   328 A Half Hollow Hills West  7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      3.00
   401 A St Mary's              11- 3       8     6          n/a  
   405 A East Islip              6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.80
   407 A Walt Whitman            8- 7  o    1     5    --    -4.90
   411 H Ward Melville           3-12      -9   -12           1.00
   419 H Lindenhurst            10-12      -2     4    ---   -6.26
   421 A Smithtown West          4-10      -6    -6           0.80
   425 H West Islip              6-18     -12   -18           0.00
   427 A Connetquot              8- 4       4     2           1.62
   501 H Copiague               12- 3       9    14          -1.00
   503 A Sachem East             8- 4       4    -3    +++    7.98
   505 H Commack                 9- 8  o    1     1          -0.28
   509 H Sachem North            3- 4      -1     4    --    -5.27
   511 H Longwood               11- 6       5     6          -1.93
   515 A Northport               5-17     -12   -11           0.00
   517 A Riverhead               9- 7       2     5    -     -3.77
   523 A Commack                 9- 8 2o    1     0           0.37
   525 A West Islip              0-17     -17   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Lindenhurst            10-12      -2     4    ---   -6.26
   407 A Walt Whitman            8- 7  o    1     5    --    -4.90
   509 H Sachem North            3- 4      -1     4    --    -5.27
   517 A Riverhead               9- 7       2     5    -     -3.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Sachem East             8- 4       4    -3    +++    7.98
   328 A Half Hollow Hills West  7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      3.00
   405 A East Islip              6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.80
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.17 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.61 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/