Region = NY B Sec 6 Nickname = Y Flames Coach = Ed GreenwayGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.9875793 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Canisius NY P Sec 6 ( 8-12, 86.9) 8- 7 331 A Medina NY C Sec 6 ( 4-14, 73.4) 13- 4 404 H East Aurora NY C Sec 6 (12- 9, 85.1) 6- 4 405 A St Francis NY P Sec 6 (14- 5, 93.3) 5-11 408 H West Seneca West NY A Sec 6 ( 8-10, 85.1) 6- 5 o 410 A Orchard Park NY A Sec 6 (21- 2, 99.9) 3-26 425 H Iroquois NY B Sec 6 ( 8- 9, 85.7) 7- 9 427 H Sweet Home NY B Sec 6 ( 7-10, 84.4) 6-10 429 H Lancaster NY A Sec 6 ( 5-11, 82.0) 9- 6 501 A Lake Shore Central NY B Sec 6 ( 2-10, 77.6) 11- 5 503 A Grand Island NY B Sec 6 (12- 8, 90.6) 4-10 505 H Hamburg NY B Sec 6 (11-10, 88.9) 7- 6 509 H West Seneca East NY B Sec 6 ( 4-15, 78.8) 7- 2 513 A Clarence NY A Sec 6 (11- 8, 85.9) 8- 4 515 A Amherst NY B Sec 6 (17- 5, 96.1) 6-11 517 H Williamsville South NY B Sec 6 ( 2-14, 78.9) 10- 4 518 A Frontier NY A Sec 6 (14- 6, 93.5) 5-15 522 A Williamsville North NY A Sec 6 (11- 7, 90.0) 4- 6 526 A Grand Island NY B Sec 6 (12- 8, 90.6) 4- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Canisius 8- 7 1 0 0.95 331 A Medina 13- 4 9 11 -1.00 404 H East Aurora 6- 4 2 1 0.09 405 A St Francis 5-11 -6 -8 + 2.28 408 H West Seneca West 6- 5 o 1 1 -0.89 410 A Orchard Park 3-26 -23 -14 0.00 425 H Iroquois 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.25 427 H Sweet Home 6-10 -4 2 --- -6.56 429 H Lancaster 9- 6 3 5 - -2.03 501 A Lake Shore Central 11- 5 6 7 -1.44 503 A Grand Island 4-10 -6 -5 -0.38 505 H Hamburg 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.89 509 H West Seneca East 7- 2 5 8 - -3.21 513 A Clarence 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.94 515 A Amherst 6-11 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 517 H Williamsville South 10- 4 6 8 - -2.07 518 A Frontier 5-15 -10 -8 -1.49 522 A Williamsville North 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.96 526 A Grand Island 4- 9 -5 -5 0.62UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 H Sweet Home 6-10 -4 2 --- -6.56 425 H Iroquois 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.25 429 H Lancaster 9- 6 3 5 - -2.03 509 H West Seneca East 7- 2 5 8 - -3.21 517 H Williamsville South 10- 4 6 8 - -2.07OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 A Clarence 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.94 515 A Amherst 6-11 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 405 A St Francis 5-11 -6 -8 + 2.28 505 H Hamburg 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.89 522 A Williamsville North 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.96/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.00 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 70.69 Local SOS Rank............. 8 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 28 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 12 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -12.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.7