Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.9875793    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   ( 8-12, 86.9)     8- 7   
 331 A Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 4-14, 73.4)    13- 4   
 404 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (12- 9, 85.1)     6- 4   
 405 A St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   (14- 5, 93.3)     5-11   
 408 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 85.1)     6- 5  o
 410 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     3-26   
 425 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 85.7)     7- 9   
 427 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 84.4)     6-10   
 429 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 82.0)     9- 6   
 501 A Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 77.6)    11- 5   
 503 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (12- 8, 90.6)     4-10   
 505 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (11-10, 88.9)     7- 6   
 509 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-15, 78.8)     7- 2   
 513 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 85.9)     8- 4   
 515 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 5, 96.1)     6-11   
 517 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 78.9)    10- 4   
 518 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (14- 6, 93.5)     5-15   
 522 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.0)     4- 6   
 526 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (12- 8, 90.6)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Canisius                8- 7       1     0           0.95
   331 A Medina                 13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   404 H East Aurora             6- 4       2     1           0.09
   405 A St Francis              5-11      -6    -8    +      2.28
   408 H West Seneca West        6- 5  o    1     1          -0.89
   410 A Orchard Park            3-26     -23   -14           0.00
   425 H Iroquois                7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.25
   427 H Sweet Home              6-10      -4     2    ---   -6.56
   429 H Lancaster               9- 6       3     5    -     -2.03
   501 A Lake Shore Central     11- 5       6     7          -1.44
   503 A Grand Island            4-10      -6    -5          -0.38
   505 H Hamburg                 7- 6       1    -1    +      2.89
   509 H West Seneca East        7- 2       5     8    -     -3.21
   513 A Clarence                8- 4       4     0    ++     4.94
   515 A Amherst                 6-11      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   517 H Williamsville South    10- 4       6     8    -     -2.07
   518 A Frontier                5-15     -10    -8          -1.49
   522 A Williamsville North     4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.96
   526 A Grand Island            4- 9      -5    -5           0.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Sweet Home              6-10      -4     2    ---   -6.56
   425 H Iroquois                7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.25
   429 H Lancaster               9- 6       3     5    -     -2.03
   509 H West Seneca East        7- 2       5     8    -     -3.21
   517 H Williamsville South    10- 4       6     8    -     -2.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 A Clarence                8- 4       4     0    ++     4.94
   515 A Amherst                 6-11      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   405 A St Francis              5-11      -6    -8    +      2.28
   505 H Hamburg                 7- 6       1    -1    +      2.89
   522 A Williamsville North     4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.00 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.69 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/