Region = NY A Sec 5 Nickname = Y Warriors Coach = Matt PetzGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.1962128 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 326 N Honeoye Falls-Lima NY B Sec 5 (11- 7, 88.1) 9- 2 401 N Fairport NY A Sec 5 (15- 4, 97.8) 7- 6 2o 404 A Spencerport NY A Sec 5 (10- 7, 82.0) 10- 3 411 H Rush-Henrietta NY A Sec 5 (10- 8, 87.6) 15- 8 415 A Penn Yan NY C Sec 5 (21- 2, 97.5) 4- 5 2o 418 A Irondequoit NY A Sec 5 ( 9- 9, 88.6) 14- 7 422 H Hamburg NY B Sec 6 (11-10, 88.9) 12- 3 427 A Penfield NY A Sec 5 (19- 2, 99.9) 7-11 429 H Webster Thomas NY A Sec 5 (14- 4, 92.3) 13- 9 502 H Pittsford NY A Sec 5 ( 3-14, 79.8) 10- 7 509 A Fairport NY A Sec 5 (15- 4, 97.8) 7-13 511 A Rush-Henrietta NY A Sec 5 (10- 8, 87.6) 8- 7 513 H Irondequoit NY A Sec 5 ( 9- 9, 88.6) 8- 5 516 H Penfield NY A Sec 5 (19- 2, 99.9) 9-11 518 A Pittsford NY A Sec 5 ( 3-14, 79.8) 11- 9 520 N Amherst NY B Sec 6 (17- 5, 96.1) 11-12 2o 523 H Hilton NY A Sec 5 ( 5-11, 77.0) 13- 0 526 H McQuaid Jesuit NY A Sec 5 (11- 9, 85.3) 16- 5 530 N Fairport NY A Sec 5 (15- 4, 97.8) 17- 8 602 N Penfield NY A Sec 5 (19- 2, 99.9) 8-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 N Honeoye Falls-Lima 9- 2 7 6 0.81 401 N Fairport 7- 6 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.55 404 A Spencerport 10- 3 7 11 - -3.00 411 H Rush-Henrietta 15- 8 7 7 -0.30 415 A Penn Yan 4- 5 2o -1 -3 + 2.84 418 A Irondequoit 14- 7 7 5 1.96 422 H Hamburg 12- 3 9 6 n/a 427 A Penfield 7-11 -4 -6 + 2.24 429 H Webster Thomas 13- 9 4 2 1.45 502 H Pittsford 10- 7 3 15 --- -7.00 509 A Fairport 7-13 -6 -4 -1.85 511 A Rush-Henrietta 8- 7 1 6 -- -5.10 513 H Irondequoit 8- 5 3 6 - -3.23 516 H Penfield 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.05 518 A Pittsford 11- 9 2 13 --- -8.00 520 N Amherst 11-12 2o -1 -1 n/a 523 H Hilton 13- 0 13 17 0.00 526 H McQuaid Jesuit 16- 5 11 9 0.49 530 N Fairport 17- 8 9 -3 +++ 12.55 602 N Penfield 8-12 -4 -5 1.65UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Pittsford 10- 7 3 15 --- -7.00 518 A Pittsford 11- 9 2 13 --- -8.00 511 A Rush-Henrietta 8- 7 1 6 -- -5.10 404 A Spencerport 10- 3 7 11 - -3.00 513 H Irondequoit 8- 5 3 6 - -3.23OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 530 N Fairport 17- 8 9 -3 +++ 12.55 401 N Fairport 7- 6 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.55 415 A Penn Yan 4- 5 2o -1 -3 + 2.84 422 H Hamburg 12- 3 9 6 + 427 A Penfield 7-11 -4 -6 + 2.24 516 H Penfield 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.05/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.25 Local Power Rank........... 4 Local SOS Rating......... 79.11 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.66 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 8.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating.195.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 4 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 8- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.3