Region = VA    Jeffsn           
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Hunter Price          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.1360474    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 4- 9, 85.0)    17- 3   
 317 A Liberty-Bealeton       VA    NoWest  ( 4- 7, 81.9)    14- 0   
 328 H Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 8- 3, 91.5)    11- 5   
 331 H Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 4- 9, 85.0)    13- 4   
 401 H Salem                  VA    Indep   (10- 4, 92.4)     9- 7   
 414 H Alta                   UT    A-South ( 8- 8, 91.0)     7- 4   
 418 H St Christopher's       VA 1  VIP     (11- 7, 92.2)     6- 7   
 425 H Woodberry Forest       VA 1  VIP     ( 6-13, 89.0)     3-12   
 428 H Albemarle              VA    Comw    (17- 2, 99.9)     3-10   
 502 A Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 4- 7, 82.0)    13- 2   
 503 H Brentsville            VA    NoWest  ( 5- 8, 80.9)    19- 5   
 505 A Covenant               VA 2  VIC     (17- 3, 99.9)    13-14   
 511 A St Anne's-Belfield     VA 1  VIP     (12- 6, 93.9)     5-10   
 512 H Collegiate School      VA 1  VIP     (16- 3, 96.8)     3-17   
 517 N Salem                  VA    Indep   (10- 4, 92.4)     9- 5   
 519 H Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 4- 9, 85.0)    12- 4   
 522 H Potomac Falls          VA    Dulles  (12- 6, 91.5)    20- 2   
 525 N Broad Run              VA    Dulles  (16- 2, 99.9)     8-11   
 530 H North Stafford         VA    Comw    (16- 5, 95.5)     7- 8 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Monticello             17- 3      14     9           0.08
   317 A Liberty-Bealeton       14- 0      14    13           0.00
   328 H Charlottesville        11- 5       6     5           0.75
   331 H Monticello             13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   401 H Salem                   9- 7       2     4    -     -2.29
   414 H Alta                    7- 4       3     5          n/a  
   418 H St Christopher's        6- 7      -1     5          n/a  
   425 H Woodberry Forest        3-12      -9     8          n/a  
   428 H Albemarle               3-10      -7    -2          n/a  
   502 A Rockbridge County      13- 2      11    12           0.00
   503 H Brentsville            19- 5      14    15           0.00
   505 A Covenant               13-14      -1    -5          n/a  
   511 A St Anne's-Belfield      5-10      -5     0          n/a  
   512 H Collegiate School       3-17     -14     0          n/a  
   517 N Salem                   9- 5       4     3           0.61
   519 H Monticello             12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   522 H Potomac Falls          20- 2      18     5    ++     4.74
   525 N Broad Run               8-11      -3    -4           1.08
   530 H North Stafford          7- 8 2o   -1     1          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H St Christopher's        6- 7      -1     5    ---        
   425 H Woodberry Forest        3-12      -9     8    ---        
   512 H Collegiate School       3-17     -14     0    ---        
   428 H Albemarle               3-10      -7    -2    --         
   511 A St Anne's-Belfield      5-10      -5     0    --         
   401 H Salem                   9- 7       2     4    -     -2.29
   414 H Alta                    7- 4       3     5    -          
   519 H Monticello             12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   530 H North Stafford          7- 8 2o   -1     1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Covenant               13-14      -1    -5    ++         
   522 H Potomac Falls          20- 2      18     5    ++     4.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.82 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.26 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   17.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.170.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/