Region = PA    2DSOUTH          
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Darrell Schmitt       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.8245850    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Morgantown             PA    2DSOUTH ( 5-11, 77.5)     6- 1   
 408 A Baldwin                PA    2DSOUTH ( 2-18, 73.2)    11- 5   
 411 A Chartiers Valley       PA    2DSOUTH (10- 9, 80.7)     6- 5   
 413 A Canon-McMillan         PA    2DSOUTH ( 7- 4, 84.6)     6- 7   
 419 N Columbus St Charles    OH 1  Reg 2   ( 9- 8, 88.1)     3-13   
 422 H Latrobe                PA    Indep   ( 2- 5, 74.1)     9- 4   
 425 H Quaker Valley          PA    2DSOUTH ( 7-11, 80.1)    10- 6   
 429 H Fox Chapel             PA    2DSOUTH (10- 8, 85.4)    15-16 2o
 509 A Greensburg Cath Cent   PA    2DSOUTH (13- 2, 90.1)     8-10   
 511 H University             PA    2DSOUTH ( 4-12, 74.0)    14- 6   
 513 H Fairmont               PA    2DSOUTH ( 3- 9, 73.0)    10- 0   
 518 A Central Catholic       PA    1DNORTH (15- 5, 96.3)     6-19   
 520 H Canon-McMillan         PA    2DSOUTH ( 7- 4, 84.6)     7- 6   
 525 A Fox Chapel             PA    2DSOUTH (10- 8, 85.4)     4-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Morgantown              6- 1       5     5          -0.04
   408 A Baldwin                11- 5       6     9    -     -3.38
   411 A Chartiers Valley        6- 5       1     1          -0.82
   413 A Canon-McMillan          6- 7      -1    -2           1.10
   419 N Columbus St Charles     3-13     -10    -4          n/a  
   422 H Latrobe                 9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   425 H Quaker Valley          10- 6       4     4          -0.10
   429 H Fox Chapel             15-16 2o   -1    -1           0.27
   509 A Greensburg Cath Cent    8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.60
   511 H University             14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   513 H Fairmont               10- 0      10    11           0.00
   518 A Central Catholic        6-19     -13   -13           0.00
   520 H Canon-McMillan          7- 6       1     0           1.48
   525 A Fox Chapel              4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 N Columbus St Charles     3-13     -10    -4    --         
   422 H Latrobe                 9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   525 A Fox Chapel              4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.11
   408 A Baldwin                11- 5       6     9    -     -3.38
   511 H University             14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Greensburg Cath Cent    8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.35 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.58 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/