Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Mike Hoppey           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.3788071    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (10- 7, 84.8)    14- 4   
 405 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 73.6)    16- 4   
 407 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 79.1)    12- 2   
 411 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 9, 80.2)    12- 3   
 417 A Syosset                NY A  Sec 8   (14- 3, 92.1)     8- 9  o
 419 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 91.0)     9- 6   
 421 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.2)     7- 1   
 425 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 79.2)    15- 0   
 427 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (23- 0, 99.4)     4- 5   
 429 H Yorktown               NY A  Sec 1   (13- 7, 93.7)    13- 4   
 501 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 84.6)     9- 3   
 503 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 76.2)    18- 3   
 505 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 86.6)     4- 5  o
 509 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 77.5)    17- 1   
 511 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 76.2)    15- 1   
 518 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 83.8)    11- 4   
 519 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 75.4)    11- 4   
 525 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 84.6)    10- 3   
 530 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 91.0)    11- 6   
 602 N West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (23- 0, 99.4)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Sayville               14- 4      10     8           1.04
   405 H Longwood               16- 4      12    20           0.00
   407 H Bay Shore              12- 2      10    14           0.00
   411 A William Floyd          12- 3       9    12          -1.00
   417 A Syosset                 8- 9  o   -1     0          n/a  
   419 A Northport               9- 6       3     2           0.92
   421 H West Babylon            7- 1       6    13    --    -4.00
   425 A Commack                15- 0      15    13           0.00
   427 H West Islip              4- 5      -1    -5    ++     4.65
   429 H Yorktown               13- 4       9     0          n/a  
   501 H East Islip              9- 3       6     9    -     -3.09
   503 A Lindenhurst            18- 3      15    16           0.00
   505 H Smithtown West          4- 5  o   -1     7    ---   -8.08
   509 A Connetquot             17- 1      16    15           0.00
   511 A Sachem North           15- 1      14    16           0.00
   518 A Sachem East            11- 4       7     9    -     -2.25
   519 H Middle Country         11- 4       7    18    -     -3.00
   525 H East Islip             10- 3       7     9    -     -2.09
   530 A Northport              11- 6       5     2    +      2.92
   602 N West Islip              6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.98

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Smithtown West          4- 5  o   -1     7    ---   -8.08
   421 H West Babylon            7- 1       6    13    --    -4.00
   501 H East Islip              9- 3       6     9    -     -3.09
   518 A Sachem East            11- 4       7     9    -     -2.25
   519 H Middle Country         11- 4       7    18    -     -3.00
   525 H East Islip             10- 3       7     9    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Yorktown               13- 4       9     0    +++        
   427 H West Islip              4- 5      -1    -5    ++     4.65
   602 N West Islip              6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.98
   530 A Northport              11- 6       5     2    +      2.92
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.40 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.53 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.155.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    3.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/