Region = NC    3A/2A            
   Nickname = C Hawks                Coach  =   Darrin Guay           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.9732132    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 4-16, 74.8)     3- 4  o
 307 A Garner                 NC    Indep   ( 0- 5, 64.3)    16- 0   
 310 H Hillsborough Orange    NC    3A/2A   ( 6- 7, 80.2)     7-12   
 314 H Wakefield-Raleigh      NC    4A      (10- 7, 88.4)     3-12   
 317 A Hillsborough Orange    NC    3A/2A   ( 6- 7, 80.2)    10- 5   
 318 A Cedar Ridge            NC    3A/2A   ( 5-11, 76.7)     6- 5   
 321 H Cary Academy           NC    Prvate  ( 1-14, 69.8)     4- 3   
 324 H Garner                 NC    Indep   ( 0- 5, 64.3)    13- 0   
 328 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (20- 3, 94.5)     4-12   
 404 H Cary HS                NC    4A      (15- 5, 91.1)     6-11   
 407 H Cedar Ridge            NC    3A/2A   ( 5-11, 76.7)     4- 5   
 408 H SouthEast Guilford     NC    3A/2A   (14- 6, 87.6)     2- 9   
 424 A NorthEast Guilford     NC    3A/2A   ( 2-15, 68.2)     9- 5   
 426 A Cary Academy           NC    Prvate  ( 1-14, 69.8)    10- 9   
 428 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (20- 3, 94.5)     2-14   
 502 H Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 1-13, 71.7)    12- 4   
 503 A Cary HS                NC    4A      (15- 5, 91.1)     3-14   
 505 H Eastern Guilford       NC    3A/2A   ( 0-16, 60.5)     1- 0   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Northern Durham         3- 4  o   -1     4    --    -5.92
   307 A Garner                 16- 0      16    15           0.00
   310 H Hillsborough Orange     7-12      -5     0    --    -5.04
   314 H Wakefield-Raleigh       3-12      -9    -8          -0.90
   317 A Hillsborough Orange    10- 5       5     0    ++     5.53
   318 A Cedar Ridge             6- 5       1     3    -     -2.02
   321 H Cary Academy            4- 3       1    10          n/a  
   324 H Garner                 13- 0      13    15           0.00
   328 A Cardinal Gibbons        4-12      -8   -14    +      2.00
   404 H Cary HS                 6-11      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   407 H Cedar Ridge             4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.60
   408 H SouthEast Guilford      2- 9      -7    -7           0.29
   424 A NorthEast Guilford      9- 5       4    11    ---   -6.00
   426 A Cary Academy           10- 9       1     9          n/a  
   428 H Cardinal Gibbons        2-14     -12   -14           0.00
   502 H Cary-Middle Creek      12- 4       8     8          -0.54
   503 A Cary HS                 3-14     -11   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Cary Academy            4- 3       1    10    ---        
   424 A NorthEast Guilford      9- 5       4    11    ---   -6.00
   426 A Cary Academy           10- 9       1     9    ---        
   303 A Northern Durham         3- 4  o   -1     4    --    -5.92
   310 H Hillsborough Orange     7-12      -5     0    --    -5.04
   407 H Cedar Ridge             4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.60
   318 A Cedar Ridge             6- 5       1     3    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Hillsborough Orange    10- 5       5     0    ++     5.53
   404 H Cary HS                 6-11      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   328 A Cardinal Gibbons        4-12      -8   -14    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.99 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.67 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    31
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/