Region = NC 3A/2A Nickname = C Hawks Coach = Darrin GuayGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.9732132 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Northern Durham NC 4A ( 4-16, 74.8) 3- 4 o 307 A Garner NC Indep ( 0- 5, 64.3) 16- 0 310 H Hillsborough Orange NC 3A/2A ( 6- 7, 80.2) 7-12 314 H Wakefield-Raleigh NC 4A (10- 7, 88.4) 3-12 317 A Hillsborough Orange NC 3A/2A ( 6- 7, 80.2) 10- 5 318 A Cedar Ridge NC 3A/2A ( 5-11, 76.7) 6- 5 321 H Cary Academy NC Prvate ( 1-14, 69.8) 4- 3 324 H Garner NC Indep ( 0- 5, 64.3) 13- 0 328 A Cardinal Gibbons NC 3A/2A (20- 3, 94.5) 4-12 404 H Cary HS NC 4A (15- 5, 91.1) 6-11 407 H Cedar Ridge NC 3A/2A ( 5-11, 76.7) 4- 5 408 H SouthEast Guilford NC 3A/2A (14- 6, 87.6) 2- 9 424 A NorthEast Guilford NC 3A/2A ( 2-15, 68.2) 9- 5 426 A Cary Academy NC Prvate ( 1-14, 69.8) 10- 9 428 H Cardinal Gibbons NC 3A/2A (20- 3, 94.5) 2-14 502 H Cary-Middle Creek NC 4A ( 1-13, 71.7) 12- 4 503 A Cary HS NC 4A (15- 5, 91.1) 3-14 505 H Eastern Guilford NC 3A/2A ( 0-16, 60.5) 1- 0PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A Northern Durham 3- 4 o -1 4 -- -5.92 307 A Garner 16- 0 16 15 0.00 310 H Hillsborough Orange 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.04 314 H Wakefield-Raleigh 3-12 -9 -8 -0.90 317 A Hillsborough Orange 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.53 318 A Cedar Ridge 6- 5 1 3 - -2.02 321 H Cary Academy 4- 3 1 10 n/a 324 H Garner 13- 0 13 15 0.00 328 A Cardinal Gibbons 4-12 -8 -14 + 2.00 404 H Cary HS 6-11 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 407 H Cedar Ridge 4- 5 -1 3 -- -4.60 408 H SouthEast Guilford 2- 9 -7 -7 0.29 424 A NorthEast Guilford 9- 5 4 11 --- -6.00 426 A Cary Academy 10- 9 1 9 n/a 428 H Cardinal Gibbons 2-14 -12 -14 0.00 502 H Cary-Middle Creek 12- 4 8 8 -0.54 503 A Cary HS 3-14 -11 -11 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Cary Academy 4- 3 1 10 --- 424 A NorthEast Guilford 9- 5 4 11 --- -6.00 426 A Cary Academy 10- 9 1 9 --- 303 A Northern Durham 3- 4 o -1 4 -- -5.92 310 H Hillsborough Orange 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.04 407 H Cedar Ridge 4- 5 -1 3 -- -4.60 318 A Cedar Ridge 6- 5 1 3 - -2.02OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Hillsborough Orange 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.53 404 H Cary HS 6-11 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 328 A Cardinal Gibbons 4-12 -8 -14 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.99 Local Power Rank........... 26 Local SOS Rating......... 55.67 Local SOS Rank............. 41 Local RPI Rating......... 0.42 Local RPI Rank............. 30 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 38 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 31 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.0