Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-IV           
   Nickname = J Mariners             Coach  =   Brett Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.8744278    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Manasquan              NJ    Grp-I   (11- 8, 81.2)     2-15   
 405 A Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III ( 7-11, 73.0)     6- 4   
 410 A Howell                 NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 81.4)     4-10   
 413 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (16- 3, 87.0)     2- 9   
 417 H Jackson Memorial       NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 7, 77.5)     4- 2   
 419 A Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-A   ( 6-10, 70.6)     9- 3   
 421 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 9-11, 76.5)    10- 7   
 426 A Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 6, 80.2)     7- 8   
 429 H Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III ( 7-11, 73.0)     3- 4   
 501 A Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  (11-10, 76.8)     6- 5   
 503 H Toms River South       NJ    Grp-III ( 8-10, 74.1)     9- 2   
 505 H Colt's Neck            NJ    Grp-III ( 5- 9, 74.6)     3- 2  o
 509 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-B   ( 7-11, 72.5)     6- 2   
 513 H Brick Memorial         NJ    Grp-IV  ( 0-15, 57.3)    15- 1   
 515 A Howell                 NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 81.4)    10- 8   
 517 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (16- 3, 87.0)     2- 8   
 519 H Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 6, 80.2)     8- 0   
 524 A Eastern Regional       NJ    Grp-IV  (19- 3, 87.9)     2-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Manasquan               2-15     -13    -3    ---   -6.63
   405 A Toms River East         6- 4       2     4    -     -2.83
   410 A Howell                  4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.47
   413 A Rumson-Fair Haven       2- 9      -7    -9    +      2.19
   417 H Jackson Memorial        4- 2       2     1           0.08
   419 A Monsignor Donovan       9- 3       6     7          -1.18
   421 H St Rose Belmar         10- 7       3     2           0.13
   426 A Southern Regional       7- 8      -1    -2           1.36
   429 H Toms River East         3- 4      -1     6    ---   -7.39
   501 A Freehold Township       6- 5       1     0           0.02
   503 H Toms River South        9- 2       7     5           1.76
   505 H Colt's Neck             3- 2  o    1     4    -     -3.84
   509 A Red Bank Catholic       6- 2       4     5          -1.32
   513 H Brick Memorial         15- 1      14    22           0.00
   515 A Howell                 10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.53
   517 A Rumson-Fair Haven       2- 8      -6    -9    +      3.19
   519 H Southern Regional       8- 0       8     0    +++    8.79
   524 A Eastern Regional        2-13     -11   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Manasquan               2-15     -13    -3    ---   -6.63
   429 H Toms River East         3- 4      -1     6    ---   -7.39
   405 A Toms River East         6- 4       2     4    -     -2.83
   410 A Howell                  4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.47
   505 H Colt's Neck             3- 2  o    1     4    -     -3.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H Southern Regional       8- 0       8     0    +++    8.79
   515 A Howell                 10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.53
   413 A Rumson-Fair Haven       2- 9      -7    -9    +      2.19
   517 A Rumson-Fair Haven       2- 8      -6    -9    +      3.19
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.61 Local Power Rank...........    70
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.41 Local SOS Rank.............    87
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    41
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   126
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    61
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
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