Conf = Shore Region = NJ Grp-IV Nickname = J Mariners Coach = Brett SmithGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.8744278 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Manasquan NJ Grp-I (11- 8, 81.2) 2-15 405 A Toms River East NJ Grp-III ( 7-11, 73.0) 6- 4 410 A Howell NJ Grp-III (11- 6, 81.4) 4-10 413 A Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (16- 3, 87.0) 2- 9 417 H Jackson Memorial NJ Grp-IV (10- 7, 77.5) 4- 2 419 A Monsignor Donovan NJ Grp-A ( 6-10, 70.6) 9- 3 421 H St Rose Belmar NJ Grp-B ( 9-11, 76.5) 10- 7 426 A Southern Regional NJ Grp-IV (14- 6, 80.2) 7- 8 429 H Toms River East NJ Grp-III ( 7-11, 73.0) 3- 4 501 A Freehold Township NJ Grp-IV (11-10, 76.8) 6- 5 503 H Toms River South NJ Grp-III ( 8-10, 74.1) 9- 2 505 H Colt's Neck NJ Grp-III ( 5- 9, 74.6) 3- 2 o 509 A Red Bank Catholic NJ Grp-B ( 7-11, 72.5) 6- 2 513 H Brick Memorial NJ Grp-IV ( 0-15, 57.3) 15- 1 515 A Howell NJ Grp-III (11- 6, 81.4) 10- 8 517 A Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (16- 3, 87.0) 2- 8 519 H Southern Regional NJ Grp-IV (14- 6, 80.2) 8- 0 524 A Eastern Regional NJ Grp-IV (19- 3, 87.9) 2-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Manasquan 2-15 -13 -3 --- -6.63 405 A Toms River East 6- 4 2 4 - -2.83 410 A Howell 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.47 413 A Rumson-Fair Haven 2- 9 -7 -9 + 2.19 417 H Jackson Memorial 4- 2 2 1 0.08 419 A Monsignor Donovan 9- 3 6 7 -1.18 421 H St Rose Belmar 10- 7 3 2 0.13 426 A Southern Regional 7- 8 -1 -2 1.36 429 H Toms River East 3- 4 -1 6 --- -7.39 501 A Freehold Township 6- 5 1 0 0.02 503 H Toms River South 9- 2 7 5 1.76 505 H Colt's Neck 3- 2 o 1 4 - -3.84 509 A Red Bank Catholic 6- 2 4 5 -1.32 513 H Brick Memorial 15- 1 14 22 0.00 515 A Howell 10- 8 2 -3 ++ 5.53 517 A Rumson-Fair Haven 2- 8 -6 -9 + 3.19 519 H Southern Regional 8- 0 8 0 +++ 8.79 524 A Eastern Regional 2-13 -11 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Manasquan 2-15 -13 -3 --- -6.63 429 H Toms River East 3- 4 -1 6 --- -7.39 405 A Toms River East 6- 4 2 4 - -2.83 410 A Howell 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.47 505 H Colt's Neck 3- 2 o 1 4 - -3.84OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 519 H Southern Regional 8- 0 8 0 +++ 8.79 515 A Howell 10- 8 2 -3 ++ 5.53 413 A Rumson-Fair Haven 2- 9 -7 -9 + 2.19 517 A Rumson-Fair Haven 2- 8 -6 -9 + 3.19/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.61 Local Power Rank........... 70 Local SOS Rating......... 53.41 Local SOS Rank............. 87 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 41 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 126 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 61 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0