Region = OH 1  Reg 4            
   Nickname = H Aves                 Coach  =   Tom Nugent            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.1646271    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Cathedral              IN    ICC     (10- 7, 92.5)     6- 1   
 329 A Hilliard Davidson      OH 1  Reg 2   ( 6-10, 81.4)     9-10   
 404 H Milford                OH 4  South   (13- 7, 91.0)     8- 2   
 408 A Summit Country Day     OH 3  South   (14- 6, 99.7)     7- 2   
 411 H Cincinnati Cou Day     OH 3  South   (11- 7, 97.3)     7- 4   
 415 H Hilliard Darby         OH 1  Reg 1   ( 6-11, 83.1)     9- 5   
 419 H Cincinnati Indian Hill OH 1  Reg 4   ( 9- 5, 91.8)     8-10   
 422 H Dublin Coffman         OH 1  Reg 1   (12- 8, 87.5)    12-14   
 426 A Cincinnati St Xavier   OH 1  Reg 4   ( 6-15, 85.6)     5-10   
 428 H Pickerington           OH 4  North   (16- 4, 99.9)     9- 7   
 503 A Mason                  OH 2  Reg 4   ( 7-13, 79.9)    18- 2   
 505 H Archbishop Moeller     OH 1  Reg 4   (12- 7, 90.5)     7- 9   
 511 A Anderson Blue          OH 4  South   (14- 3, 99.9)     9- 6   
 513 H Carmel                 IN    Indep   (11- 8, 94.8)    11-10   
 516 A Mariemont              OH 1  Reg 4   ( 3- 9, 82.7)     9- 4   
 519 A Lakota West            OH 1  Reg 4   (12- 5, 89.9)    10-15   
 523 H Mariemont              OH 1  Reg 4   ( 3- 9, 82.7)    11- 9   
 526 A Cincinnati Indian Hill OH 1  Reg 4   ( 9- 5, 91.8)     6-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Cathedral               6- 1       5    -2          n/a  
   329 A Hilliard Davidson       9-10      -1     5    ---   -6.51
   404 H Milford                 8- 2       6     0          n/a  
   408 A Summit Country Day      7- 2       5   -12          n/a  
   411 H Cincinnati Cou Day      7- 4       3    -7          n/a  
   415 H Hilliard Darby          9- 5       4     7    -     -3.12
   419 H Cincinnati Indian Hill  8-10      -2    -1          -0.41
   422 H Dublin Coffman         12-14      -2     2    --    -4.75
   426 A Cincinnati St Xavier    5-10      -5     1    ---   -6.28
   428 H Pickerington            9- 7       2    -9          n/a  
   503 A Mason                  18- 2      16     7          n/a  
   505 H Archbishop Moeller      7- 9      -2     0          -1.73
   511 A Anderson Blue           9- 6       3   -13          n/a  
   513 H Carmel                 11-10       1    -4          n/a  
   516 A Mariemont               9- 4       5     4           0.78
   519 A Lakota West            10-15      -5    -3          -1.98
   523 H Mariemont              11- 9       2     7    --    -5.58
   526 A Cincinnati Indian Hill  6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Hilliard Davidson       9-10      -1     5    ---   -6.51
   426 A Cincinnati St Xavier    5-10      -5     1    ---   -6.28
   422 H Dublin Coffman         12-14      -2     2    --    -4.75
   523 H Mariemont              11- 9       2     7    --    -5.58
   526 A Cincinnati Indian Hill  6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.05
   415 H Hilliard Darby          9- 5       4     7    -     -3.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Cathedral               6- 1       5    -2    +++        
   404 H Milford                 8- 2       6     0    +++        
   408 A Summit Country Day      7- 2       5   -12    +++        
   411 H Cincinnati Cou Day      7- 4       3    -7    +++        
   428 H Pickerington            9- 7       2    -9    +++        
   511 A Anderson Blue           9- 6       3   -13    +++        
   513 H Carmel                 11-10       1    -4    ++         
   503 A Mason                  18- 2      16     7    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.56 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.81 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/