Conf = ECIAC Region = CT S Nickname = T Bears Coach = Josef KnetsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 75.2113953 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Old Lyme CT S (13- 5, 78.9) 10-13 410 A East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 84.4) 5-17 413 H Williams NE East-2 ( 6- 7, 75.7) 8- 7 420 A Norwich Tech CT S ( 0-10, 53.2) 14-10 422 A Tolland CT S (10- 8, 70.9) 7-11 424 A Morgan-Clinton CT S ( 9- 7, 76.4) 11-10 426 A Norwich Free Academy CT L ( 8-10, 69.7) 8-14 429 A Notre Dame-Fairfield CT S ( 6-10, 70.1) 11- 4 502 A Fitch-Groton CT L ( 7-11, 70.1) 11-18 506 H Saint Bernard CT S ( 1-13, 55.2) 17- 3 508 H Woodstock Academy CT M ( 3-12, 63.2) 13- 8 511 A Avon HS CT S (12- 7, 78.7) 7-18 515 H Wheeler-No Stonington CT S ( 5-11, 63.1) 10- 5 517 A Suffield HS CT S ( 6-11, 67.7) 11- 5 520 H Ledyard CT M ( 5- 8, 70.2) 14-11 524 H East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 84.4) 2-15 603 H Northwest Catholic CT S (10- 9, 77.0) 4-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Old Lyme 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.31 410 A East Lyme 5-17 -12 -14 0.00 413 H Williams 8- 7 1 -3 n/a 420 A Norwich Tech 14-10 4 16 --- -6.00 422 A Tolland 7-11 -4 0 - -3.22 424 A Morgan-Clinton 11-10 1 -6 +++ 7.32 426 A Norwich Free Academy 8-14 -6 0 --- -6.36 429 A Notre Dame-Fairfield 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.97 502 A Fitch-Groton 11-18 -7 0 --- -7.03 506 H Saint Bernard 17- 3 14 17 0.00 508 H Woodstock Academy 13- 8 5 9 -- -4.35 511 A Avon HS 7-18 -11 -8 -1.44 515 H Wheeler-No Stonington 10- 5 5 9 -- -4.43 517 A Suffield HS 11- 5 6 2 + 3.61 520 H Ledyard 14-11 3 2 0.63 524 H East Lyme 2-15 -13 -11 0.00 603 H Northwest Catholic 4-10 -6 -4 -1.54UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 A Norwich Tech 14-10 4 16 --- -6.00 426 A Norwich Free Academy 8-14 -6 0 --- -6.36 502 A Fitch-Groton 11-18 -7 0 --- -7.03 508 H Woodstock Academy 13- 8 5 9 -- -4.35 515 H Wheeler-No Stonington 10- 5 5 9 -- -4.43 422 A Tolland 7-11 -4 0 - -3.22OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Morgan-Clinton 11-10 1 -6 +++ 7.32 429 A Notre Dame-Fairfield 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.97 413 H Williams 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 407 H Old Lyme 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.31 517 A Suffield HS 11- 5 6 2 + 3.61/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 71.34 Local Power Rank........... 44 Local SOS Rating......... 43.82 Local SOS Rank............. 59 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 43 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 59 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 45 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -12.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.3