Region = NY    Cath             
   Nickname = Y Bayhawks             Coach  =   Mike Morgan           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.0002899    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Malverne               NY C  Sec 8   ( 5-11, 71.9)     7- 6   
 324 A Monsignor Farrell      NY    Cathlc  (10- 9, 86.2)     8- 3   
 328 H Holy Trinity           NY    Cath    (12- 7, 90.2)     6- 7  o
 330 A Long Island Lutheran   NY    MLA     (11- 7, 83.8)     9- 2   
 404 A Kellenberg             NY    Cath    ( 8-10, 85.5)     4- 8   
 425 A Holy Trinity           NY    Cath    (12- 7, 90.2)     7-17   
 427 A St Anthony's           NY    Cath    (11- 6, 95.6)     3-16   
 428 N Glen Cove              NY B  Sec 8   ( 6-10, 71.8)     9- 5   
 429 A Portledge              NY    MLA     ( 5- 9, 79.9)    10- 3   
 501 H St John Baptist        NY    Cath    (11- 7, 85.8)     9- 8   
 502 H St Mary's              NY    Cath    ( 1-17, 73.4)     4-10   
 505 H St John Baptist        NY    Cath    (11- 7, 85.8)     5-11   
 509 H Chaminade              NY    Cath    (15- 2, 99.9)     2-11   
 513 A St Mary's              NY    Cath    ( 1-17, 73.4)     6- 5   
 520 H Kellenberg             NY    Cath    ( 8-10, 85.5)     9-14   
 525 H St Mary's              NY    Cath    ( 1-17, 73.4)     8- 7   
 530 N St John Baptist        NY    Cath    (11- 7, 85.8)     4-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Malverne                7- 6       1    10          n/a  
   324 A Monsignor Farrell       8- 3       5    -5          n/a  
   328 H Holy Trinity            6- 7  o   -1    -7    +++    6.33
   330 A Long Island Lutheran    9- 2       7    -2          n/a  
   404 A Kellenberg              4- 8      -4    -4           0.36
   425 A Holy Trinity            7-17     -10    -8          -1.02
   427 A St Anthony's            3-16     -13   -14           0.00
   428 N Glen Cove               9- 5       4    10          n/a  
   429 A Portledge              10- 3       7     1          n/a  
   501 H St John Baptist         9- 8       1    -2    +      3.96
   502 H St Mary's               4-10      -6     9    ---  -15.40
   505 H St John Baptist         5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.04
   509 H Chaminade               2-11      -9   -17           1.00
   513 A St Mary's               6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.75
   520 H Kellenberg              9-14      -5    -2    -     -2.29
   525 H St Mary's               8- 7       1     9    ---   -8.40
   530 N St John Baptist         4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.22

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Malverne                7- 6       1    10    ---        
   428 N Glen Cove               9- 5       4    10    ---        
   502 H St Mary's               4-10      -6     9    ---  -15.40
   513 A St Mary's               6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.75
   525 H St Mary's               8- 7       1     9    ---   -8.40
   530 N St John Baptist         4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.22
   505 H St John Baptist         5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.04
   520 H Kellenberg              9-14      -5    -2    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Monsignor Farrell       8- 3       5    -5    +++        
   328 H Holy Trinity            6- 7  o   -1    -7    +++    6.33
   330 A Long Island Lutheran    9- 2       7    -2    +++        
   429 A Portledge              10- 3       7     1    ++         
   501 H St John Baptist         9- 8       1    -2    +      3.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.01 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.71 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.37 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/