Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-B            
   Nickname = J Purple Roses         Coach  =   Rick Stainton         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.5638123    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Jackson Memorial       NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 7, 77.5)     8- 3   
 404 A Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  (11-10, 76.8)     6- 5   
 405 H Colt's Neck            NJ    Grp-III ( 5- 9, 74.6)     5- 4   
 407 H Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III ( 7-11, 73.0)     9- 2   
 411 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-B   ( 7-11, 72.5)     9- 5   
 412 H North Brunswick        NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 82.1)     4- 6   
 418 A Howell                 NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 81.4)     6-12   
 421 A Toms River North       NJ    Grp-IV  (11- 7, 78.6)     7-10   
 425 H New Providence         NJ    Grp-I   ( 5- 7, 76.4)    10-11   
 427 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (16- 3, 87.0)     7-16   
 429 H Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 6, 80.2)     7- 8   
 502 H Manasquan              NJ    Grp-I   (11- 8, 81.2)     8-14   
 503 A Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-II  (10-11, 69.0)    16- 4   
 505 A Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-A   ( 6-10, 70.6)     8- 5   
 508 H Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (13- 6, 89.8)     5-19   
 511 H Toms River South       NJ    Grp-III ( 8-10, 74.1)     4- 6   
 512 H Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  (11-10, 76.8)     6- 8   
 515 A St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 7- 8, 70.5)    13- 6   
 523 H St Joseph Montvale     NJ    Grp-B   ( 8-11, 76.0)    11- 8   
 525 A Pingry                 NJ    Grp-B   (17- 3, 92.5)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Jackson Memorial        8- 3       5    -1    +++    6.73
   404 A Freehold Township       6- 5       1    -1    +      2.11
   405 H Colt's Neck             5- 4       1     2          -1.75
   407 H Toms River East         9- 2       7     4    +      2.69
   411 H Red Bank Catholic       9- 5       4     4          -0.81
   412 H North Brunswick         4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.83
   418 A Howell                  6-12      -6    -5          -0.39
   421 A Toms River North        7-10      -3    -2          -0.13
   425 H New Providence         10-11      -1     0          -1.87
   427 A Rumson-Fair Haven       7-16      -9   -11           1.00
   429 H Southern Regional       7- 8      -1    -2           1.88
   502 H Manasquan               8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.12
   503 A Red Bank Regional      16- 4      12     6    +      3.21
   505 A Monsignor Donovan       8- 5       3     5    -     -2.10
   508 H Christian Bros          5-19     -14   -12           0.00
   511 H Toms River South        4- 6      -2     3    --    -5.16
   512 H Freehold Township       6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.46
   515 A St John Vianney        13- 6       7     5           1.71
   523 H St Joseph Montvale     11- 8       3     1           1.71
   525 A Pingry                  6-11      -5   -16    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Toms River South        4- 6      -2     3    --    -5.16
   502 H Manasquan               8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.12
   505 A Monsignor Donovan       8- 5       3     5    -     -2.10
   512 H Freehold Township       6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Jackson Memorial        8- 3       5    -1    +++    6.73
   525 A Pingry                  6-11      -5   -16    ++     5.00
   404 A Freehold Township       6- 5       1    -1    +      2.11
   407 H Toms River East         9- 2       7     4    +      2.69
   412 H North Brunswick         4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.83
   503 A Red Bank Regional      16- 4      12     6    +      3.21
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.53 Local Power Rank...........    81
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.43 Local SOS Rank.............    80
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    62
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   122
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   103
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/