Region = NY I  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Bbrendan McDanie      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.8599701    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Wilson                 NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 5, 96.4)     9- 8   
 330 H Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 2, 99.9)     6- 8   
 403 H Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 8, 85.0)     8- 1   
 409 H Erie-Spears            PA    2DNORTH ( 1- 5, 79.2)     9- 7   
 410 H Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 0- 8, 83.3)    15- 4   
 412 H Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 94.3)     6-15   
 420 H Erie-Spears            PA    2DNORTH ( 1- 5, 79.2)   
 424 A Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 8, 85.0)    11- 2   
 426 A Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 2, 99.9)     9- 6   
 428 A Wilson                 NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 5, 96.4)    12- 6   
 430 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 94.3)  4
 502 A Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 0- 8, 83.3)    10- 1   
 508 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 94.3)     7-12   
 510 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 94.3)     3- 2   
 511 H Wilson                 NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 5, 96.4)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Wilson                  9- 8       1     0           0.79
   330 H Genesee                 6- 8      -2    -3           1.32
   403 H Newfane                 8- 1       7    11    -     -3.00
   409 H Erie-Spears             9- 7       2    17          n/a  
   410 H Kenmore East           15- 4      11    13           0.00
   412 H Gow School              6-15      -9     2    ---  -11.29
   424 A Newfane                11- 2       9    11          -1.00
   426 A Genesee                 9- 6       3    -3    +++    6.34
   428 A Wilson                 12- 6       6     0    ++     5.81
   502 A Kenmore East           10- 1       9    13          -1.00
   508 A Gow School              7-12      -5     2    ---   -7.27
   510 A Gow School              3- 2       1     2          -1.27
   511 H Wilson                  6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Erie-Spears             9- 7       2    17    ---        
   412 H Gow School              6-15      -9     2    ---  -11.29
   508 A Gow School              7-12      -5     2    ---   -7.27
   403 H Newfane                 8- 1       7    11    -     -3.00
   511 H Wilson                  6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Genesee                 9- 6       3    -3    +++    6.34
   428 A Wilson                 12- 6       6     0    ++     5.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.57 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.61 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   19.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.170.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/