Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Dave Trahan           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.0785980    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   ( 8- 8, 79.6)    10-11   
 401 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 77.2)     1-11   
 404 A Saugerties             NY B  Sec 9   ( 7- 8, 83.6)     5- 4   
 407 H Glens Falls            NY B  Sec 2   ( 4-12, 76.4)     9- 8   
 408 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-12, 83.5)     1-15   
 411 A LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-12, 78.3)     2-15   
 413 H Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   (15- 5, 97.8)     4-17   
 415 A Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (15- 6, 86.8)     2-11   
 418 H Troy                   NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-14, 59.6)    11- 2   
 425 A Christian Bros         NY A  Sec 2   (15- 5, 91.3)     3-16   
 427 A Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 1- 9, 65.2)    17- 5   
 429 A Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-12, 82.2)     5-13   
 506 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   (14- 4, 91.9)     0-12   
 509 H LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-12, 78.3)    11-10   
 511 A Troy                   NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-14, 59.6)    14- 0   
 513 H St Joseph Central      MA 2          ( 4-12, 77.7)     8- 7 2o
 516 H Christian Bros         NY A  Sec 2   (15- 5, 91.3)     2-16   
 518 H Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 1- 9, 65.2)    13- 0   
 522 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (11- 9, 88.9)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Scotia-Glenville       10-11      -1    -2           1.86
   401 H South Glens Falls       1-11     -10     0    ---   -9.54
   404 A Saugerties              5- 4       1    -8          n/a  
   407 H Glens Falls             9- 8       1     0           0.64
   408 A Bethlehem               1-15     -14    -8          -1.64
   411 A LaSalle Institute       2-15     -13    -3    ---   -6.83
   413 H Kingston                4-17     -13   -20          n/a  
   415 A Queensbury              2-11      -9   -11           1.00
   418 H Troy                   11- 2       9    17          -1.00
   425 A Christian Bros          3-16     -13   -16           0.00
   427 A Amsterdam              17- 5      12     9           0.04
   429 A Colonie                 5-13      -8    -7          -0.92
   506 H Columbia                0-12     -12   -15           0.00
   509 H LaSalle Institute      11-10       1    -1    +      2.58
   511 A Troy                   14- 0      14    15           0.00
   513 H St Joseph Central       8- 7 2o    1    -1          n/a  
   516 H Christian Bros          2-16     -14   -14           0.00
   518 H Amsterdam              13- 0      13    11           0.00
   522 A Shaker                  5-15     -10   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H South Glens Falls       1-11     -10     0    ---   -9.54
   411 A LaSalle Institute       2-15     -13    -3    ---   -6.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Saugerties              5- 4       1    -8    +++        
   509 H LaSalle Institute      11-10       1    -1    +      2.58
   513 H St Joseph Central       8- 7 2o    1    -1    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.94 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.60 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/