Ponderosa                     4 - 8


 
                                     Region = CO    Contl            
   Nickname = O Mustangs             Coach  =   Dennis Volz           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   82.2211456    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 309 H Lewis Palmer           CO    South   ( 2-12, 67.7)    13- 1   
 315 H Douglas County         CO    Contl   ( 9- 7, 84.9)     6- 7   
 317 A Rangeview              CO    Contl   ( 2-12, 75.9)     4- 3   
 325 A ThunderRidge           CO    Contl   ( 8- 7, 85.6)     3- 4   
 405 A Gateway                CO    Contl   ( 2-13, 69.0)    11- 7   
 408 H Arapahoe               CO    Contl   (14- 4, 97.4)     0-17   
 412 A Chaparral              CO    Contl   ( 5-10, 79.6)    10- 8   
 415 H Littleton              CO    Contl   ( 9- 7, 86.7)     2-14   
 417 H Heritage               CO    Contl   (10- 7, 92.1)     1-11   
 420 A Regis Jesuit           CO    Contl   (13- 4, 94.8)     4-14   
 427 A Rock Canyon            CO    Contl   ( 7- 6, 83.7)     8-20   
 502 A Mullen                 CO    Centenn (12- 4, 94.2)     2-16   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Lewis Palmer           13- 1      12    10           0.00
   315 H Douglas County          6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.47
   317 A Rangeview               4- 3       1     1          -0.19
   325 A ThunderRidge            3- 4      -1    -8    +++    7.53
   405 A Gateway                11- 7       4     8    --    -4.10
   408 H Arapahoe                0-17     -17   -18           0.00
   412 A Chaparral              10- 8       2    -2    ++     4.58
   415 H Littleton               2-14     -12    -8          -1.75
   417 H Heritage                1-11     -10   -13           0.00
   420 A Regis Jesuit            4-14     -10   -17           0.00
   427 A Rock Canyon             8-20     -12    -6    -     -3.31
   502 A Mullen                  2-16     -14   -17           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Gateway                11- 7       4     8    --    -4.10
   427 A Rock Canyon             8-20     -12    -6    -     -3.31


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A ThunderRidge            3- 4      -1    -8    +++    7.53
   315 H Douglas County          6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.47
   412 A Chaparral              10- 8       2    -2    ++     4.58




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.75 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.73 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.0


  
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