Conf =  Pitt                      Region = NJ    Private          
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Rodger Colbert        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7113342    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Blair Academy          NJ    Private ( 4-12, 74.5)     6- 5  o
 405 A Hunterdon Central      NJ    Grp-IV  (15- 8, 90.1)     5- 9   
 411 H Hun School             NJ    Private (12- 5, 88.2)     6- 9   
 413 A Westfield              NJ    Grp-III (11- 7, 90.0)     6-14   
 420 H Notre Dame-Trenton     NJ    Grp-A   (14- 4, 85.6)     6-12   
 422 H Mercersburg Academy    PA    Indep   (12- 3, 92.6)     4- 9   
 424 H Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (13- 6, 89.8)     3- 7   
 426 A Hill School            PA    Indep   ( 8- 8, 88.8)     4-14   
 429 H Wyoming Seminary       PA    Indep   ( 3-11, 76.3)     8- 7  o
 501 A Hun School             NJ    Private (12- 5, 88.2)    12-16   
 503 H Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ    Grp-IV  (11- 9, 87.9)     3- 9   
 506 H Hopewell Valley Centra NJ    Grp-II  (16- 4, 88.9)     8- 9   
 510 H Princeton HS           NJ    Grp-II  (17- 2, 92.9)     4-11   
 513 H North Hunterdon        NJ    Grp-III ( 3-15, 77.5)     7- 6   
 515 A Moorestown             NJ    Grp-II  (11- 7, 91.0)     6-16   
 517 A Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (20- 0, 99.5)     4-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Blair Academy           6- 5  o    1     3    -     -2.45
   405 A Hunterdon Central       5- 9      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   411 H Hun School              6- 9      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   413 A Westfield               6-14      -8   -13    +      2.00
   420 H Notre Dame-Trenton      6-12      -6    -7           1.63
   422 H Mercersburg Academy     4- 9      -5   -14          n/a  
   424 H Christian Bros          3- 7      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   426 A Hill School             4-14     -10   -12          n/a  
   429 H Wyoming Seminary        8- 7  o    1     1          n/a  
   501 A Hun School             12-16      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   503 H Bridgewater-Raritan     3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.96
   506 H Hopewell Valley Centra  8- 9      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   510 H Princeton HS            4-11      -7   -14    +      3.00
   513 H North Hunterdon         7- 6       1     0           0.54
   515 A Moorestown              6-16     -10   -14           0.00
   517 A Lawrenceville           4-20     -16   -23           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Blair Academy           6- 5  o    1     3    -     -2.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Hunterdon Central       5- 9      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   411 H Hun School              6- 9      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   424 H Christian Bros          3- 7      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   501 A Hun School             12-16      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   506 H Hopewell Valley Centra  8- 9      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   422 H Mercersburg Academy     4- 9      -5   -14    ++         
   413 A Westfield               6-14      -8   -13    +      2.00
   503 H Bridgewater-Raritan     3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.96
   510 H Princeton HS            4-11      -7   -14    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.17 Local Power Rank...........    79
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.53 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    69
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   102
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    91
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/