Region = VA    Concord          
   Nickname = A Cougars              Coach  =   Anthony Gray          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.6149597    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H St Paul's              MD A  MIAA    (12- 5, 91.9)     7-21   
 317 A Boys' Latin            MD A  MIAA    (21- 0, 99.7)     5-20   
 327 A Robinson               VA    Concord (15- 6, 98.3)    12-11   
 401 H DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (11- 7, 94.8)    13-12   
 404 H Westfield              VA    Concord (12- 3, 99.9)    12-11   
 418 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (22- 0, 99.9)     4-22   
 420 A Centreville            VA    Concord ( 6- 7, 85.1)    15- 9   
 424 A Fairfax                VA    Concord ( 2-10, 79.6)    21- 5   
 428 H Herndon                VA    Concord ( 5- 7, 86.3)    14- 7   
 502 H Chantilly              VA    Concord ( 7- 7, 90.5)     8- 7   
 505 A Landon                 DC    IAC     (14- 6, 90.6)     3-14   
 510 N Chantilly              VA    Concord ( 7- 7, 90.5)     9- 1   
 512 N Robinson               VA    Concord (15- 6, 98.3)     5- 6   
 516 H Falls Church           VA    Nationl ( 7- 6, 87.0)    18- 5   
 518 N Madison                VA    Liberty ( 6-10, 84.9)    11- 1   
 522 H Woodson                VA    Liberty (16- 4, 98.5)     2-12   
 524 H Langley                VA    Liberty (13- 5, 97.5)     7- 5   
 530 A Broad Run              VA    Dulles  (16- 2, 99.9)    14- 7   
 601 N Woodson                VA    Liberty (16- 4, 98.5)     9- 8   
 603 A Robinson               VA    Concord (15- 6, 98.3)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H St Paul's               7-21     -14     3          n/a  
   317 A Boys' Latin             5-20     -15    -5          n/a  
   327 A Robinson               12-11       1    -3    ++     4.45
   401 H DeMatha                13-12       1     0          n/a  
   404 H Westfield              12-11       1    -4    ++     5.89
   418 A Georgetown Prep         4-22     -18    -5          n/a  
   420 A Centreville            15- 9       6     9    -     -3.76
   424 A Fairfax                21- 5      16    15           0.00
   428 H Herndon                14- 7       7     8          -1.70
   502 H Chantilly               8- 7       1     4    -     -3.47
   505 A Landon                  3-14     -11     3          n/a  
   510 N Chantilly               9- 1       8     4    +      3.60
   512 N Robinson                5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.37
   516 H Falls Church           18- 5      13     7    +      2.03
   518 N Madison                11- 1      10    10           0.00
   522 H Woodson                 2-12     -10    -3    ---   -6.48
   524 H Langley                 7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.44
   530 A Broad Run              14- 7       7    -5          n/a  
   601 N Woodson                 9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.60
   603 A Robinson                6-11      -5    -3          -1.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H St Paul's               7-21     -14     3    ---        
   505 A Landon                  3-14     -11     3    ---        
   522 H Woodson                 2-12     -10    -3    ---   -6.48
   317 A Boys' Latin             5-20     -15    -5    --         
   418 A Georgetown Prep         4-22     -18    -5    --         
   420 A Centreville            15- 9       6     9    -     -3.76
   502 H Chantilly               8- 7       1     4    -     -3.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   530 A Broad Run              14- 7       7    -5    +++        
   327 A Robinson               12-11       1    -3    ++     4.45
   404 H Westfield              12-11       1    -4    ++     5.89
   524 H Langley                 7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.44
   601 N Woodson                 9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.60
   510 N Chantilly               9- 1       8     4    +      3.60
   512 N Robinson                5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.37
   516 H Falls Church           18- 5      13     7    +      2.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.93 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.24 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.185.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/