Conf = FCIAC Region = CT L Nickname = T Bears Coach = Chris McGeeGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.5973511 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Greenwich CT L (17- 3, 93.0) 8-14 408 H Newtown CT L ( 6-11, 74.9) 11- 4 412 A Wilton CT M (12- 8, 90.3) 4-13 415 H Cheshire HS CT L ( 9-11, 81.7) 12- 3 418 H Southington CT L ( 7-11, 80.8) 14- 3 421 A Stamford CT L ( 3-13, 69.6) 11- 2 422 A Weston CT S (13- 6, 84.2) 13- 6 427 A Fairfield Prep CT L (16- 7, 90.1) 6-11 429 H Danbury CT L ( 8-10, 77.3) 14- 4 502 H Ridgefield CT M (11- 7, 88.0) 8- 9 504 A Trumbull CT L (13- 6, 84.7) 9- 6 509 A Westhill CT L ( 2-14, 67.0) 14- 1 515 H Fairfield-Ludlowe CT S (11-10, 81.5) 11- 9 518 A Bridgeport Central CT L ( 0-12, 64.0) 16- 3 520 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk CT M (16- 4, 92.4) 1-13 524 H Staples-Westport CT M ( 8- 9, 81.3) 11- 7 526 A Greenwich CT L (17- 3, 93.0) 7-11 602 H Hall-West Hartford CT L ( 8- 9, 79.6) 11- 5 606 H Cheshire HS CT L ( 9-11, 81.7) 6- 3 608 N Trumbull CT L (13- 6, 84.7) 9- 8 610 N Fairfield Prep CT L (16- 7, 90.1) 12-13 4oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Greenwich 8-14 -6 -5 -0.79 408 H Newtown 11- 4 7 12 - -3.00 412 A Wilton 4-13 -9 -5 - -3.96 415 H Cheshire HS 12- 3 9 6 + 2.96 418 H Southington 14- 3 11 6 + 3.01 421 A Stamford 11- 2 9 15 -1.00 422 A Weston 13- 6 7 1 ++ 5.85 427 A Fairfield Prep 6-11 -5 -4 -0.17 429 H Danbury 14- 4 10 10 0.00 502 H Ridgefield 8- 9 -1 0 -0.76 504 A Trumbull 9- 6 3 0 + 2.36 509 A Westhill 14- 1 13 18 0.00 515 H Fairfield-Ludlowe 11- 9 2 6 -- -4.27 518 A Bridgeport Central 16- 3 13 21 0.00 520 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk 1-13 -12 -7 - -2.95 524 H Staples-Westport 11- 7 4 6 - -2.48 526 A Greenwich 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.68 602 H Hall-West Hartford 11- 5 6 8 - -2.13 606 H Cheshire HS 6- 3 3 6 - -3.04 608 N Trumbull 9- 8 1 1 -0.87 610 N Fairfield Prep 12-13 4o -1 -3 + 2.59UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 H Fairfield-Ludlowe 11- 9 2 6 -- -4.27 408 H Newtown 11- 4 7 12 - -3.00 412 A Wilton 4-13 -9 -5 - -3.96 520 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk 1-13 -12 -7 - -2.95 524 H Staples-Westport 11- 7 4 6 - -2.48 602 H Hall-West Hartford 11- 5 6 8 - -2.13 606 H Cheshire HS 6- 3 3 6 - -3.04OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Weston 13- 6 7 1 ++ 5.85 415 H Cheshire HS 12- 3 9 6 + 2.96 418 H Southington 14- 3 11 6 + 3.01 504 A Trumbull 9- 6 3 0 + 2.36 526 A Greenwich 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.68 610 N Fairfield Prep 12-13 4o -1 -3 + 2.59/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.54 Local Power Rank........... 12 Local SOS Rating......... 62.70 Local SOS Rank............. 12 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 43 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 11 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0