Region = MD MILL Nickname = A Dragons Coach = Rob HorneGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.9249573 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 306 H St Johns-Prospect Hall MD B MIAA ( 3-13, 83.9) 16-10 308 A Durham Academy NC Prvate (12-10, 86.3) 4- 6 309 A Ravenscroft School NC Prvate ( 9-11, 81.9) 7- 6 o 310 A Cannon School NC Prvate (10- 8, 86.7) 5- 7 318 H Christchurch VA 2 VIC ( 6-12, 86.0) 20- 1 318 H Benedictine VA 2 Privte (11- 9, 87.5) 23- 1 321 A St Andrews Episcopal DC MAC ( 0-13, 74.7) 13- 5 323 A St Johns DC DC WCAC ( 2-11, 79.7) 16- 6 325 H Paul VI DC WCAC ( 3-13, 80.5) 15- 2 327 H Covenant VA 2 VIC (17- 3, 99.9) 9- 6 329 A St Anne's-Belfield VA 1 VIP (12- 6, 93.9) 3-10 331 H Flint Hill DC MAC (11- 6, 89.6) 11- 5 404 H Blue Ridge School VA 2 CavAC ( 5- 9, 84.3) 17- 2 408 A Sandy Springs Friends MD MILL ( 9- 4, 84.8) 15- 1 410 A Queen Anne School MD MILL ( 0- 7, 70.4) 20- 0 412 A The Heights MD MILL (13- 5, 90.2) 8- 9 418 H Eleanor Roosevelt MD MILL ( 4- 5, 83.4) 14- 4 420 H Sidwell Friends DC MAC (11- 8, 88.3) 11- 7 422 A Calverton MD MILL (11- 6, 93.5) 8-13 425 A Gunston Day MD MILL ( 1-12, 77.4) 10- 5 427 H Massanutten Military VA 2 CavAC ( 4- 7, 73.6) 16- 2 428 N Bishop O'Connell DC WCAC ( 7-12, 86.3) 8- 7 429 A Christchurch VA 2 VIC ( 6-12, 86.0) 9- 7 429 N St Marys Ryken DC WCAC (16- 3, 99.9) 4-11 502 A Blue Ridge School VA 2 CavAC ( 5- 9, 84.3) 11- 5 505 H Gunston Day MD MILL ( 1-12, 77.4) 15- 1 506 H Wakefield School VA 2 Delaney (11- 6, 91.3) 19- 7 509 A The Heights MD MILL (13- 5, 90.2) 3- 6 513 N Blue Ridge School VA 2 CavAC ( 5- 9, 84.3) 7- 3 516 H Virginia Episcopal VA 2 VIC ( 9- 8, 87.5) 12- 5 518 H Highland School VA 2 Delaney (15- 5, 93.4) 6- 7 2oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H St Johns-Prospect Hall 16-10 6 11 n/a 308 A Durham Academy 4- 6 -2 7 n/a 309 A Ravenscroft School 7- 6 o 1 11 n/a 310 A Cannon School 5- 7 -2 6 n/a 318 H Christchurch 20- 1 19 9 n/a 318 H Benedictine 23- 1 22 8 n/a 321 A St Andrews Episcopal 13- 5 8 18 - -2.00 323 A St Johns DC 16- 6 10 13 0.00 325 H Paul VI 15- 2 13 15 0.00 327 H Covenant 9- 6 3 -3 n/a 329 A St Anne's-Belfield 3-10 -7 -1 n/a 331 H Flint Hill 11- 5 6 6 -0.10 404 H Blue Ridge School 17- 2 15 11 n/a 408 A Sandy Springs Friends 15- 1 14 8 1.55 410 A Queen Anne School 20- 0 20 22 0.00 412 A The Heights 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.04 418 H Eleanor Roosevelt 14- 4 10 12 0.00 420 H Sidwell Friends 11- 7 4 7 - -3.45 422 A Calverton 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.73 425 A Gunston Day 10- 5 5 15 -- -5.00 427 H Massanutten Military 16- 2 14 22 n/a 428 N Bishop O'Connell 8- 7 1 8 --- -7.16 429 A Christchurch 9- 7 2 7 n/a 429 N St Marys Ryken 4-11 -7 -5 -1.59 502 A Blue Ridge School 11- 5 6 8 n/a 505 H Gunston Day 15- 1 14 18 0.00 506 H Wakefield School 19- 7 12 4 n/a 509 A The Heights 3- 6 -3 3 --- -6.04 513 N Blue Ridge School 7- 3 4 10 n/a 516 H Virginia Episcopal 12- 5 7 8 n/a 518 H Highland School 6- 7 2o -1 2 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Durham Academy 4- 6 -2 7 --- 309 A Ravenscroft School 7- 6 o 1 11 --- 310 A Cannon School 5- 7 -2 6 --- 428 N Bishop O'Connell 8- 7 1 8 --- -7.16 509 A The Heights 3- 6 -3 3 --- -6.04 513 N Blue Ridge School 7- 3 4 10 --- 306 H St Johns-Prospect Hall 16-10 6 11 -- 329 A St Anne's-Belfield 3-10 -7 -1 -- 412 A The Heights 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.04 422 A Calverton 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.73 425 A Gunston Day 10- 5 5 15 -- -5.00 429 A Christchurch 9- 7 2 7 -- 321 A St Andrews Episcopal 13- 5 8 18 - -2.00 420 H Sidwell Friends 11- 7 4 7 - -3.45 502 A Blue Ridge School 11- 5 6 8 - 518 H Highland School 6- 7 2o -1 2 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Covenant 9- 6 3 -3 +++ 506 H Wakefield School 19- 7 12 4 ++/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.49 Local Power Rank........... 4 Local SOS Rating......... 68.83 Local SOS Rank............. 17 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 3.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 23- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3