Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Ward             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.1849518    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H Masuk-Monroe           CT M          ( 5-11, 71.2)     6- 3   
 410 H Westhill               CT L          ( 2-14, 67.0)     7- 1   
 411 H Pomperaug-Southbury    CT M          ( 6-10, 69.5)     7- 8 3o
 418 A New Fairfield          CT S          (11- 9, 79.6)     2-14   
 420 H Shelton                CT L          ( 4-12, 66.9)     5- 3   
 422 H West Haven             CT L          ( 4-12, 66.1)     8- 2   
 425 A Immaculate Danbury     CT S          ( 5- 8, 73.3)     5- 7   
 427 H New Milford            CT L          (17- 4, 84.7)     3-16   
 429 H Stonington             CT S          ( 9- 8, 71.3)     4-11   
 502 A Barlow-Redding         CT M          (17- 4, 90.3)     0-14   
 504 H Bethel                 CT M          ( 0-14, 71.5)     1- 0   
 509 A Weston                 CT S          (13- 6, 84.2)     0-13   
 511 A Brookfield             CT M          ( 8-10, 76.0)     5-10   
 517 H North Haven            CT M          ( 8- 9, 74.4)     9- 7   
 518 A Newtown                CT L          ( 6-11, 74.9)     4- 7   
 520 A Amity Regional         CT L          ( 8- 9, 79.0)     2-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Masuk-Monroe            6- 3       3     0    +      2.88
   410 H Westhill                7- 1       6     4           1.68
   411 H Pomperaug-Southbury     7- 8 3o   -1     1    -     -2.78
   418 A New Fairfield           2-14     -12   -10           0.00
   420 H Shelton                 5- 3       2     4    -     -2.39
   422 H West Haven              8- 2       6     5           0.79
   425 A Immaculate Danbury      5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.47
   427 H New Milford             3-16     -13   -13           0.00
   429 H Stonington              4-11      -7     0    ---   -6.97
   502 A Barlow-Redding          0-14     -14   -21           0.00
   509 A Weston                  0-13     -13   -15           0.00
   511 A Brookfield              5-10      -5    -7    +      2.19
   517 H North Haven             9- 7       2    -3    ++     5.07
   518 A Newtown                 4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.06
   520 A Amity Regional          2-14     -12   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Stonington              4-11      -7     0    ---   -6.97
   411 H Pomperaug-Southbury     7- 8 3o   -1     1    -     -2.78
   420 H Shelton                 5- 3       2     4    -     -2.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 H North Haven             9- 7       2    -3    ++     5.07
   406 H Masuk-Monroe            6- 3       3     0    +      2.88
   425 A Immaculate Danbury      5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.47
   511 A Brookfield              5-10      -5    -7    +      2.19
   518 A Newtown                 4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.08 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.46 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    52
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    42
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    53
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/