Region = NY A Sec 6 Nickname = Y Falcons Coach = Vince ShiffertGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.5831604 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 406 H Hamburg NY B Sec 6 (11-10, 88.9) 11- 6 408 A Sweet Home NY B Sec 6 ( 7-10, 84.4) 9- 3 411 H Gowanda NY C Sec 6 ( 9- 8, 82.4) 19- 5 420 H Minisink Valley NY A Sec 9 (13- 8, 94.0) 16- 4 422 A Medina NY C Sec 6 ( 4-14, 73.4) 18- 3 425 H West Seneca West NY A Sec 6 ( 8-10, 85.1) 21- 7 427 H Lancaster NY A Sec 6 ( 5-11, 82.0) 19- 8 429 H Canisius NY P Sec 6 ( 8-12, 86.9) 17- 8 501 A Clarence NY A Sec 6 (11- 8, 85.9) 18- 7 503 A Frontier NY A Sec 6 (14- 6, 93.5) 14- 6 505 H Williamsville North NY A Sec 6 (11- 7, 90.0) 11- 9 509 H Jamestown NY A Sec 6 ( 3-15, 70.7) 22- 0 511 A Lockport NY A Sec 6 ( 3-12, 72.1) 17- 4 513 A Grand Island NY B Sec 6 (12- 8, 90.6) 9- 4 515 A Orchard Park NY A Sec 6 (21- 2, 99.9) 11-14 517 A North Tonawanda NY A Sec 6 ( 0-14, 65.2) 20- 1 522 A Nichols NY P Sec 6 ( 4-14, 83.4) 11-12 526 H Lancaster NY A Sec 6 ( 5-11, 82.0) 15- 9 530 H Frontier NY A Sec 6 (14- 6, 93.5) 11-10 601 N Orchard Park NY A Sec 6 (21- 2, 99.9) 4-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Hamburg 11- 6 5 9 -- -4.45 408 A Sweet Home 9- 3 6 11 -- -4.00 411 H Gowanda 19- 5 14 15 0.00 420 H Minisink Valley 16- 4 12 4 n/a 422 A Medina 18- 3 15 22 0.00 425 H West Seneca West 21- 7 14 13 0.00 427 H Lancaster 19- 8 11 16 0.00 429 H Canisius 17- 8 9 11 -1.00 501 A Clarence 18- 7 11 10 0.00 503 A Frontier 14- 6 8 2 ++ 5.16 505 H Williamsville North 11- 9 2 8 --- -6.38 509 H Jamestown 22- 0 22 27 0.00 511 A Lockport 17- 4 13 24 0.00 513 A Grand Island 9- 4 5 5 -0.72 515 A Orchard Park 11-14 -3 -3 0.56 517 A North Tonawanda 20- 1 19 31 0.00 522 A Nichols 11-12 -1 12 --- -11.00 526 H Lancaster 15- 9 6 16 -- -4.00 530 H Frontier 11-10 1 4 - -3.84 601 N Orchard Park 4-13 -9 -2 --- -6.44UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 H Williamsville North 11- 9 2 8 --- -6.38 522 A Nichols 11-12 -1 12 --- -11.00 601 N Orchard Park 4-13 -9 -2 --- -6.44 406 H Hamburg 11- 6 5 9 -- -4.45 408 A Sweet Home 9- 3 6 11 -- -4.00 526 H Lancaster 15- 9 6 16 -- -4.00 530 H Frontier 11-10 1 4 - -3.84OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 H Minisink Valley 16- 4 12 4 ++ 503 A Frontier 14- 6 8 2 ++ 5.16/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.34 Local Power Rank........... 3 Local SOS Rating......... 68.42 Local SOS Rank............. 19 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 5.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating.185.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7