Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Vince Shiffert        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.5831604    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (11-10, 88.9)    11- 6   
 408 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 84.4)     9- 3   
 411 H Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 82.4)    19- 5   
 420 H Minisink Valley        NY A  Sec 9   (13- 8, 94.0)    16- 4   
 422 A Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 4-14, 73.4)    18- 3   
 425 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 85.1)    21- 7   
 427 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 82.0)    19- 8   
 429 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   ( 8-12, 86.9)    17- 8   
 501 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 85.9)    18- 7   
 503 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (14- 6, 93.5)    14- 6   
 505 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.0)    11- 9   
 509 H Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-15, 70.7)    22- 0   
 511 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-12, 72.1)    17- 4   
 513 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (12- 8, 90.6)     9- 4   
 515 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)    11-14   
 517 A North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-14, 65.2)    20- 1   
 522 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 4-14, 83.4)    11-12   
 526 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 82.0)    15- 9   
 530 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (14- 6, 93.5)    11-10   
 601 N Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     4-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Hamburg                11- 6       5     9    --    -4.45
   408 A Sweet Home              9- 3       6    11    --    -4.00
   411 H Gowanda                19- 5      14    15           0.00
   420 H Minisink Valley        16- 4      12     4          n/a  
   422 A Medina                 18- 3      15    22           0.00
   425 H West Seneca West       21- 7      14    13           0.00
   427 H Lancaster              19- 8      11    16           0.00
   429 H Canisius               17- 8       9    11          -1.00
   501 A Clarence               18- 7      11    10           0.00
   503 A Frontier               14- 6       8     2    ++     5.16
   505 H Williamsville North    11- 9       2     8    ---   -6.38
   509 H Jamestown              22- 0      22    27           0.00
   511 A Lockport               17- 4      13    24           0.00
   513 A Grand Island            9- 4       5     5          -0.72
   515 A Orchard Park           11-14      -3    -3           0.56
   517 A North Tonawanda        20- 1      19    31           0.00
   522 A Nichols                11-12      -1    12    ---  -11.00
   526 H Lancaster              15- 9       6    16    --    -4.00
   530 H Frontier               11-10       1     4    -     -3.84
   601 N Orchard Park            4-13      -9    -2    ---   -6.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Williamsville North    11- 9       2     8    ---   -6.38
   522 A Nichols                11-12      -1    12    ---  -11.00
   601 N Orchard Park            4-13      -9    -2    ---   -6.44
   406 H Hamburg                11- 6       5     9    --    -4.45
   408 A Sweet Home              9- 3       6    11    --    -4.00
   526 H Lancaster              15- 9       6    16    --    -4.00
   530 H Frontier               11-10       1     4    -     -3.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Minisink Valley        16- 4      12     4    ++         
   503 A Frontier               14- 6       8     2    ++     5.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.34 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.42 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.185.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/