Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Rebels               Coach  =   Marty Morgan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.9093323    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Pomperaug-Southbury    CT M          ( 6-10, 69.5)    14- 7   
 408 H Amity Regional         CT L          ( 8- 9, 79.0)     4-12   
 410 A Masuk-Monroe           CT M          ( 5-11, 71.2)    11- 2   
 411 H Staples-Westport       CT M          ( 8- 9, 81.3)     5-13   
 418 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 6-10, 70.1)    14- 2   
 422 H Branford               CT M          (13- 6, 85.8)    12-14   
 425 H New Milford            CT L          (17- 4, 84.7)    15-16  o
 427 A Immaculate Danbury     CT S          ( 5- 8, 73.3)     7- 4   
 429 H Housatonic Valley      CT S          ( 5-11, 65.6)    11- 3   
 502 H Weston                 CT S          (13- 6, 84.2)     6-12   
 504 H Brookfield             CT M          ( 8-10, 76.0)     7- 6   
 509 A Newtown                CT L          ( 6-11, 74.9)     5- 7   
 511 A Bethel                 CT M          ( 0-14, 71.5)     1- 0   
 516 H Barlow-Redding         CT M          (17- 4, 90.3)     5- 7   
 518 H Avon HS                CT S          (12- 7, 78.7)    14- 7   
 520 H Danbury                CT L          ( 8-10, 77.3)    16- 6   
 523 H Brookfield             CT M          ( 8-10, 76.0)    11- 5   
 525 A Barlow-Redding         CT M          (17- 4, 90.3)    10-19   
 605 A Morgan-Clinton         CT S          ( 9- 7, 76.4)    11- 7   
 606 A Somers                 CT S          (18- 2, 88.5)     4- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Pomperaug-Southbury    14- 7       7     8          -1.84
   408 H Amity Regional          4-12      -8     1    ---   -9.87
   410 A Masuk-Monroe           11- 2       9     7           1.82
   411 H Staples-Westport        5-13      -8     0    ---   -7.55
   418 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   14- 2      12    10           0.00
   422 H Branford               12-14      -2    -4    +      2.96
   425 H New Milford            15-16  o   -1    -3    +      2.85
   427 A Immaculate Danbury      7- 4       3     5    -     -2.06
   429 H Housatonic Valley      11- 3       8    15    -     -2.00
   502 H Weston                  6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.68
   504 H Brookfield              7- 6       1     4    -     -3.81
   509 A Newtown                 5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.47
   516 H Barlow-Redding          5- 7      -2    -9    +++    7.51
   518 H Avon HS                14- 7       7     2    ++     4.83
   520 H Danbury                16- 6      10     3    +++    6.49
   523 H Brookfield             11- 5       6     4           1.19
   525 A Barlow-Redding         10-19      -9   -11           1.00
   605 A Morgan-Clinton         11- 7       4     1    +      2.05
   606 A Somers                  4- 8      -4   -10    +++    6.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Amity Regional          4-12      -8     1    ---   -9.87
   411 H Staples-Westport        5-13      -8     0    ---   -7.55
   509 A Newtown                 5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.47
   427 A Immaculate Danbury      7- 4       3     5    -     -2.06
   429 H Housatonic Valley      11- 3       8    15    -     -2.00
   502 H Weston                  6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.68
   504 H Brookfield              7- 6       1     4    -     -3.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Barlow-Redding          5- 7      -2    -9    +++    7.51
   520 H Danbury                16- 6      10     3    +++    6.49
   606 A Somers                  4- 8      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   518 H Avon HS                14- 7       7     2    ++     4.83
   422 H Branford               12-14      -2    -4    +      2.96
   425 H New Milford            15-16  o   -1    -3    +      2.85
   605 A Morgan-Clinton         11- 7       4     1    +      2.05
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.60 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.96 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/