Conf = SWCIAC Region = CT S Nickname = T Rebels Coach = Marty MorganGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.9093323 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 406 A Pomperaug-Southbury CT M ( 6-10, 69.5) 14- 7 408 H Amity Regional CT L ( 8- 9, 79.0) 4-12 410 A Masuk-Monroe CT M ( 5-11, 71.2) 11- 2 411 H Staples-Westport CT M ( 8- 9, 81.3) 5-13 418 H Notre Dame-Fairfield CT S ( 6-10, 70.1) 14- 2 422 H Branford CT M (13- 6, 85.8) 12-14 425 H New Milford CT L (17- 4, 84.7) 15-16 o 427 A Immaculate Danbury CT S ( 5- 8, 73.3) 7- 4 429 H Housatonic Valley CT S ( 5-11, 65.6) 11- 3 502 H Weston CT S (13- 6, 84.2) 6-12 504 H Brookfield CT M ( 8-10, 76.0) 7- 6 509 A Newtown CT L ( 6-11, 74.9) 5- 7 511 A Bethel CT M ( 0-14, 71.5) 1- 0 516 H Barlow-Redding CT M (17- 4, 90.3) 5- 7 518 H Avon HS CT S (12- 7, 78.7) 14- 7 520 H Danbury CT L ( 8-10, 77.3) 16- 6 523 H Brookfield CT M ( 8-10, 76.0) 11- 5 525 A Barlow-Redding CT M (17- 4, 90.3) 10-19 605 A Morgan-Clinton CT S ( 9- 7, 76.4) 11- 7 606 A Somers CT S (18- 2, 88.5) 4- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Pomperaug-Southbury 14- 7 7 8 -1.84 408 H Amity Regional 4-12 -8 1 --- -9.87 410 A Masuk-Monroe 11- 2 9 7 1.82 411 H Staples-Westport 5-13 -8 0 --- -7.55 418 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 14- 2 12 10 0.00 422 H Branford 12-14 -2 -4 + 2.96 425 H New Milford 15-16 o -1 -3 + 2.85 427 A Immaculate Danbury 7- 4 3 5 - -2.06 429 H Housatonic Valley 11- 3 8 15 - -2.00 502 H Weston 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.68 504 H Brookfield 7- 6 1 4 - -3.81 509 A Newtown 5- 7 -2 3 -- -5.47 516 H Barlow-Redding 5- 7 -2 -9 +++ 7.51 518 H Avon HS 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.83 520 H Danbury 16- 6 10 3 +++ 6.49 523 H Brookfield 11- 5 6 4 1.19 525 A Barlow-Redding 10-19 -9 -11 1.00 605 A Morgan-Clinton 11- 7 4 1 + 2.05 606 A Somers 4- 8 -4 -10 +++ 6.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Amity Regional 4-12 -8 1 --- -9.87 411 H Staples-Westport 5-13 -8 0 --- -7.55 509 A Newtown 5- 7 -2 3 -- -5.47 427 A Immaculate Danbury 7- 4 3 5 - -2.06 429 H Housatonic Valley 11- 3 8 15 - -2.00 502 H Weston 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.68 504 H Brookfield 7- 6 1 4 - -3.81OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 H Barlow-Redding 5- 7 -2 -9 +++ 7.51 520 H Danbury 16- 6 10 3 +++ 6.49 606 A Somers 4- 8 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 518 H Avon HS 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.83 422 H Branford 12-14 -2 -4 + 2.96 425 H New Milford 15-16 o -1 -3 + 2.85 605 A Morgan-Clinton 11- 7 4 1 + 2.05/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.60 Local Power Rank........... 26 Local SOS Rating......... 54.96 Local SOS Rank............. 34 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 28 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 37 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 32 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0