Conf =  Div II                    Region = NY C  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Monarchs                                              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.4810638    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A St John Baptist        NY    Cath    (11- 7, 85.8)     8-12   
 401 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 66.3)     9- 6   
 404 H Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 80.4)     3- 7   
 406 A Mount Sinai            NY C  Sec 11  (14- 4, 85.9)     5-12   
 408 H St Mary's              NY    Cath    ( 1-17, 73.4)    15- 4   
 410 A Westhampton Beach      NY B  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 75.6)     6- 7  o
 412 H Half Hollow Hills West NY B  Sec 11  (12- 6, 83.8)     5- 8   
 420 H Rocky Point            NY B  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 78.7)     6- 7   
 424 H Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  (12- 6, 85.6)     5-17   
 427 A East Hampton           NY B  Sec 11  (13- 4, 85.8)     3-15   
 502 H Islip                  NY B  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 71.8)    12-13  o
 504 A Babylon                NY C  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 80.8)     4-10   
 508 A Bayport-Blue Point     NY C  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 70.7)     8- 7   
 510 H Harborfields           NY B  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 72.3)     9- 5   
 513 A Smithtown East         NY B  Sec 11  (14- 3, 88.1)     6-15   
 518 H Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  ( 0-16, 65.4)    11- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A St John Baptist         8-12      -4   -12          n/a  
   401 H Copiague                9- 6       3     8    --    -5.32
   404 H Kings Park              3- 7      -4    -5           1.72
   406 A Mount Sinai             5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   408 H St Mary's              15- 4      11     1          n/a  
   410 A Westhampton Beach       6- 7  o   -1    -1           0.56
   412 H Half Hollow Hills West  5- 8      -3    -9    +++    6.19
   420 H Rocky Point             6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.02
   424 H Hauppauge               5-17     -12   -10           0.00
   427 A East Hampton            3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   502 H Islip                  12-13  o   -1     2    -     -3.84
   504 A Babylon                 4-10      -6    -6           0.84
   508 A Bayport-Blue Point      8- 7       1     3    -     -2.34
   510 H Harborfields            9- 5       4     2           1.68
   513 A Smithtown East          6-15      -9   -14           1.00
   518 H Eastport/South Manor   11- 6       5     9    --    -4.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Copiague                9- 6       3     8    --    -5.32
   518 H Eastport/South Manor   11- 6       5     9    --    -4.24
   502 H Islip                  12-13  o   -1     2    -     -3.84
   508 A Bayport-Blue Point      8- 7       1     3    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A St John Baptist         8-12      -4   -12    +++        
   408 H St Mary's              15- 4      11     1    +++        
   412 H Half Hollow Hills West  5- 8      -3    -9    +++    6.19
   406 A Mount Sinai             5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   420 H Rocky Point             6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.33 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.86 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/