Monticello                    4 - 9


 
                                     Region = VA    Jeffsn           
   Nickname = A Mustangs                                              



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   84.9528503    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  (11- 8, 95.8)     3-17   
 323 H Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 4- 7, 82.0)     6- 5   
 331 A Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  (11- 8, 95.8)     4-13   
 408 A Salem                  VA    Indep   (10- 4, 92.4)  6
 414 A Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 8- 3, 91.5)     8- 9   
 418 A Tandem Friends         VA 2  VIC     ( 8- 7, 86.4)     4- 1   
 421 A Albemarle              VA    Comw    (17- 2, 99.9)     6-13   
 426 H Covenant               VA 2  VIC     (17- 3, 99.9)     6-13   
 505 H Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 8- 3, 91.5)     5-15   
 510 H Brentsville            VA    NoWest  ( 5- 8, 80.9)     9- 7   
 512 H Tandem Friends         VA 2  VIC     ( 8- 7, 86.4)     5- 9   
 517 A Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 8- 3, 91.5)     3- 2  o
 519 A Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  (11- 8, 95.8)     4-12   
 522 A Broad Run              VA    Dulles  (16- 2, 99.9)     2-17   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Western Albemarle       3-17     -14    -9          -0.08
   323 H Rockbridge County       6- 5       1     3    -     -2.88
   331 A Western Albemarle       4-13      -9   -11           1.00
   414 A Charlottesville         8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.38
   418 A Tandem Friends          4- 1       3    -2          n/a  
   421 A Albemarle               6-13      -7   -16          n/a  
   426 H Covenant                6-13      -7   -13          n/a  
   505 H Charlottesville         5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.43
   510 H Brentsville             9- 7       2     4    -     -2.96
   512 H Tandem Friends          5- 9      -4     0          n/a  
   517 A Charlottesville         3- 2  o    1    -7    +++    8.38
   519 A Western Albemarle       4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
   522 A Broad Run               2-17     -15   -15           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Charlottesville         5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.43
   323 H Rockbridge County       6- 5       1     3    -     -2.88
   510 H Brentsville             9- 7       2     4    -     -2.96
   512 H Tandem Friends          5- 9      -4     0    -          


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Charlottesville         8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.38
   517 A Charlottesville         3- 2  o    1    -7    +++    8.38
   418 A Tandem Friends          4- 1       3    -2    ++         
   421 A Albemarle               6-13      -7   -16    +          
   426 H Covenant                6-13      -7   -13    +          
   519 A Western Albemarle       4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.99 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.12 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3


  
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