Conf =  Waterm                    Region = NJ    Grp-B            
   Nickname = J Crimson              Coach  =   Alan Donnelly         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2822418    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (10- 7, 84.8)     4- 7   
 404 H Madison Boro           NJ    Grp-I   (16- 4, 92.8)     5- 6   
 408 H Mountain Lakes         NJ    Grp-I   (21- 2, 96.6)     3- 7   
 411 H Princeton Day          NJ    Private ( 5-11, 75.6)    15- 3   
 413 H Ridge                  NJ    Grp-III (16- 4, 92.3)     9- 8   
 418 H Roxbury                NJ    Grp-III ( 5-14, 78.4)    13- 5   
 420 A Montgomery             NJ    Grp-II  (14- 7, 90.6)     6- 9   
 426 H Immaculata             NJ    Grp-B   (14- 7, 88.6)     9- 8  o
 429 A A.L.Johnson-Clark      NJ    Grp-I   (11- 9, 83.7)     8- 4   
 502 H Glen Ridge             NJ    Grp-I   (10-10, 82.2)     9- 2   
 505 H Roxbury                NJ    Grp-III ( 5-14, 78.4)     9- 3   
 508 H Montclair Kim Acad     NJ    Grp-B   (13- 6, 86.2)    11- 4   
 509 H Pingry                 NJ    Grp-B   (17- 3, 92.5)     4- 7   
 511 A Madison Boro           NJ    Grp-I   (16- 4, 92.8)     7- 8   
 512 A Livingston             NJ    Grp-III ( 1-18, 74.1)     9- 3   
 516 H Rutgers Prep           NJ    Private (17- 2, 85.8)    13- 6   
 517 H Hanover Park           NJ    Grp-II  ( 7-13, 81.8)     9- 6   
 519 H Morristown             NJ    Grp-III ( 0-19, 71.4)    15- 4   
 525 H Newark Academy         NJ    Grp-B   ( 8- 7, 77.2)    13- 3   
 530 H Immaculata             NJ    Grp-B   (14- 7, 88.6)    11- 4   
 603 N Pingry                 NJ    Grp-B   (17- 3, 92.5)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Sayville                4- 7      -3     5          n/a  
   404 H Madison Boro            5- 6      -1    -2           1.62
   408 H Mountain Lakes          3- 7      -4    -6    +      2.47
   411 H Princeton Day          15- 3      12    14           0.00
   413 H Ridge                   9- 8       1    -2    +      3.17
   418 H Roxbury                13- 5       8    11    -     -2.00
   420 A Montgomery              6- 9      -3    -1          -1.02
   426 H Immaculata              9- 8  o    1     1          -0.51
   429 A A.L.Johnson-Clark       8- 4       4     4          -0.92
   502 H Glen Ridge              9- 2       7     7          -0.91
   505 H Roxbury                 9- 3       6    11    --    -4.00
   508 H Montclair Kim Acad     11- 4       7     3    +      3.05
   509 H Pingry                  4- 7      -3    -2          -0.62
   511 A Madison Boro            7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.19
   512 A Livingston              9- 3       6    14    --    -4.00
   516 H Rutgers Prep           13- 6       7     4    +      2.66
   517 H Hanover Park            9- 6       3     8    --    -5.34
   519 H Morristown             15- 4      11    18           0.00
   525 H Newark Academy         13- 3      10    12           0.00
   530 H Immaculata             11- 4       7     1    ++     5.49
   603 N Pingry                  5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Sayville                4- 7      -3     5    ---        
   505 H Roxbury                 9- 3       6    11    --    -4.00
   512 A Livingston              9- 3       6    14    --    -4.00
   517 H Hanover Park            9- 6       3     8    --    -5.34
   418 H Roxbury                13- 5       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   530 H Immaculata             11- 4       7     1    ++     5.49
   408 H Mountain Lakes          3- 7      -4    -6    +      2.47
   413 H Ridge                   9- 8       1    -2    +      3.17
   508 H Montclair Kim Acad     11- 4       7     3    +      3.05
   511 A Madison Boro            7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.19
   516 H Rutgers Prep           13- 6       7     4    +      2.66
   603 N Pingry                  5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.36 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.65 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    79
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/