Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Russ Mooney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.2183685    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Agawam                 MA 2          ( 6-12, 82.8)    12- 1   
 407 N Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          ( 3-13, 78.7)    18- 3   
 411 H East Longmeadow        MA 2          (10- 6, 89.6)    15- 1   
 413 H Suffield Academy       NE 2  West    ( 4-13, 79.8)    15- 1   
 415 H Algonquin              MA 2          (14- 9, 96.0)    14- 4   
 418 A West Springfield       MA 2          ( 2-15, 78.6)    18- 3   
 419 A Avon Old Farms         NE 1  West    (11- 4, 97.9)     4-11   
 422 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (10-10, 89.4)    13- 7   
 425 A South Hadley           MA 2          (12- 7, 96.5)     5- 6   
 504 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (10-10, 89.4)     9- 2   
 506 A Northampton            MA 2          ( 9-10, 86.3)    13- 7   
 509 H Longmeadow             MA 2          (14- 4, 99.9)     9-11   
 511 A Westfield              MA 2          (15- 6, 93.3)    11-10   
 518 H South Hadley           MA 2          (12- 7, 96.5)     6- 7 3o
 521 A Falmouth HS            MA 2          (12-10, 81.8)     6- 2   
 522 A Agawam                 MA 2          ( 6-12, 82.8)    14- 5   
 524 H Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    ( 6-13, 86.2)    11- 2   
 526 A Longmeadow             MA 2          (14- 4, 99.9)     8-10   
 530 A Westfield              MA 2          (15- 6, 93.3)    11- 3   
 601 A St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (14- 6, 99.9)     6- 8   
 606 H Northampton            MA 2          ( 9-10, 86.3)    13- 4   
 608 N South Hadley           MA 2          (12- 7, 96.5)    14-10   
 611 N Longmeadow             MA 2          (14- 4, 99.9)     7- 6   
 614 N Westborough            MA 2          (14- 8, 97.5)     9- 6   
 617 A Wellesley              MA 2          (24- 1, 93.5)     3-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Agawam                 12- 1      11    15           0.00
   407 N Cathedral Springfield  18- 3      15    19           0.00
   411 H East Longmeadow        15- 1      14     9           0.97
   413 H Suffield Academy       15- 1      14    18          n/a  
   415 H Algonquin              14- 4      10     2          n/a  
   418 A West Springfield       18- 3      15    18           0.00
   419 A Avon Old Farms          4-11      -7    -1          n/a  
   422 H Amherst-Pelham         13- 7       6     9    -     -3.20
   425 A South Hadley            5- 6      -1     0          -1.88
   504 A Amherst-Pelham          9- 2       7     7          -0.97
   506 A Northampton            13- 7       6    11    --    -4.00
   509 H Longmeadow              9-11      -2    -1          -0.69
   511 A Westfield              11-10       1     4    -     -3.06
   518 H South Hadley            6- 7 3o   -1     2    -     -3.10
   521 A Falmouth HS             6- 2       4    15          n/a  
   522 A Agawam                 14- 5       9    14          -1.00
   524 H Northfield Mt Hermon   11- 2       9    12          n/a  
   526 A Longmeadow              8-10      -2    -2           0.54
   530 A Westfield              11- 3       8     4    +      3.94
   601 A St Johns Shrewsbury     6- 8      -2    -2          n/a  
   606 H Northampton            13- 4       9    12          -1.00
   608 N South Hadley           14-10       4     1    +      2.51
   611 N Longmeadow              7- 6       1    -1    +      2.92
   614 N Westborough             9- 6       3     0          n/a  
   617 A Wellesley               3-12      -9     3          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 A Falmouth HS             6- 2       4    15    ---        
   617 A Wellesley               3-12      -9     3    ---        
   419 A Avon Old Farms          4-11      -7    -1    --         
   506 A Northampton            13- 7       6    11    --    -4.00
   422 H Amherst-Pelham         13- 7       6     9    -     -3.20
   511 A Westfield              11-10       1     4    -     -3.06
   518 H South Hadley            6- 7 3o   -1     2    -     -3.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Algonquin              14- 4      10     2    +++        
   530 A Westfield              11- 3       8     4    +      3.94
   608 N South Hadley           14-10       4     1    +      2.51
   611 N Longmeadow              7- 6       1    -1    +      2.92
   614 N Westborough             9- 6       3     0    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.98 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.65 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   22.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.270.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/