Conf = WestMass Region = MA 2 Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Russ MooneyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.2183685 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Agawam MA 2 ( 6-12, 82.8) 12- 1 407 N Cathedral Springfield MA 2 ( 3-13, 78.7) 18- 3 411 H East Longmeadow MA 2 (10- 6, 89.6) 15- 1 413 H Suffield Academy NE 2 West ( 4-13, 79.8) 15- 1 415 H Algonquin MA 2 (14- 9, 96.0) 14- 4 418 A West Springfield MA 2 ( 2-15, 78.6) 18- 3 419 A Avon Old Farms NE 1 West (11- 4, 97.9) 4-11 422 H Amherst-Pelham MA 2 (10-10, 89.4) 13- 7 425 A South Hadley MA 2 (12- 7, 96.5) 5- 6 504 A Amherst-Pelham MA 2 (10-10, 89.4) 9- 2 506 A Northampton MA 2 ( 9-10, 86.3) 13- 7 509 H Longmeadow MA 2 (14- 4, 99.9) 9-11 511 A Westfield MA 2 (15- 6, 93.3) 11-10 518 H South Hadley MA 2 (12- 7, 96.5) 6- 7 3o 521 A Falmouth HS MA 2 (12-10, 81.8) 6- 2 522 A Agawam MA 2 ( 6-12, 82.8) 14- 5 524 H Northfield Mt Hermon NE 1 West ( 6-13, 86.2) 11- 2 526 A Longmeadow MA 2 (14- 4, 99.9) 8-10 530 A Westfield MA 2 (15- 6, 93.3) 11- 3 601 A St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 (14- 6, 99.9) 6- 8 606 H Northampton MA 2 ( 9-10, 86.3) 13- 4 608 N South Hadley MA 2 (12- 7, 96.5) 14-10 611 N Longmeadow MA 2 (14- 4, 99.9) 7- 6 614 N Westborough MA 2 (14- 8, 97.5) 9- 6 617 A Wellesley MA 2 (24- 1, 93.5) 3-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Agawam 12- 1 11 15 0.00 407 N Cathedral Springfield 18- 3 15 19 0.00 411 H East Longmeadow 15- 1 14 9 0.97 413 H Suffield Academy 15- 1 14 18 n/a 415 H Algonquin 14- 4 10 2 n/a 418 A West Springfield 18- 3 15 18 0.00 419 A Avon Old Farms 4-11 -7 -1 n/a 422 H Amherst-Pelham 13- 7 6 9 - -3.20 425 A South Hadley 5- 6 -1 0 -1.88 504 A Amherst-Pelham 9- 2 7 7 -0.97 506 A Northampton 13- 7 6 11 -- -4.00 509 H Longmeadow 9-11 -2 -1 -0.69 511 A Westfield 11-10 1 4 - -3.06 518 H South Hadley 6- 7 3o -1 2 - -3.10 521 A Falmouth HS 6- 2 4 15 n/a 522 A Agawam 14- 5 9 14 -1.00 524 H Northfield Mt Hermon 11- 2 9 12 n/a 526 A Longmeadow 8-10 -2 -2 0.54 530 A Westfield 11- 3 8 4 + 3.94 601 A St Johns Shrewsbury 6- 8 -2 -2 n/a 606 H Northampton 13- 4 9 12 -1.00 608 N South Hadley 14-10 4 1 + 2.51 611 N Longmeadow 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.92 614 N Westborough 9- 6 3 0 n/a 617 A Wellesley 3-12 -9 3 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 521 A Falmouth HS 6- 2 4 15 --- 617 A Wellesley 3-12 -9 3 --- 419 A Avon Old Farms 4-11 -7 -1 -- 506 A Northampton 13- 7 6 11 -- -4.00 422 H Amherst-Pelham 13- 7 6 9 - -3.20 511 A Westfield 11-10 1 4 - -3.06 518 H South Hadley 6- 7 3o -1 2 - -3.10OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Algonquin 14- 4 10 2 +++ 530 A Westfield 11- 3 8 4 + 3.94 608 N South Hadley 14-10 4 1 + 2.51 611 N Longmeadow 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.92 614 N Westborough 9- 6 3 0 +/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.98 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 79.65 Local SOS Rank............. 3 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 22.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.270.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 2 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.9 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7