Mendocino                     3 - 7


 
   Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NorCal           
   Nickname = A Lightning            Coach  =   Tobin Hahn            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   77.0227966    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 304 H Ukiah                  CA    NorCal  ( 4- 9, 69.3)     8- 6   
 311 H Santa Rosa             CA    NorCal  ( 6- 6, 75.4)     6-12   
 318 N Morgan Hill            CA    NorCal  ( 4- 9, 74.3)     5-10   
 318 N Chico                  CA    NorCal  ( 7- 3, 83.4)     1-16   
 319 N Monterey               CA    NorCal  ( 2- 9, 71.3)     7- 8   
 401 A Rancho Cotati          CA    NorCal  (11- 4, 84.4)     9-19   
 408 H San Francisco City     CA    NorCal  ( 3- 8, 69.0)    14-11   
 429 N Davis                  CA    NorCal  ( 9- 4, 81.6)     7-15   
 503 A Santa Rosa             CA    NorCal  ( 6- 6, 75.4)    13-14   
 505 A Ukiah                  CA    NorCal  ( 4- 9, 69.3)    10- 7   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Ukiah                   8- 6       2     0           1.21
   311 H Santa Rosa              6-12      -6    -5          -0.72
   318 N Morgan Hill             5-10      -5    -4          -0.76
   318 N Chico                   1-16     -15   -13           0.00
   319 N Monterey                7- 8      -1    -1           0.30
   401 A Rancho Cotati           9-19     -10   -14           0.00
   408 H San Francisco City     14-11       3     1           1.92
   429 N Davis                   7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   503 A Santa Rosa             13-14      -1    -5    ++     4.40
   505 A Ukiah                  10- 7       3     0    +      2.33


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Santa Rosa             13-14      -1    -5    ++     4.40
   429 N Davis                   7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   505 A Ukiah                  10- 7       3     0    +      2.33




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.02 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.77 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0


  
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