Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-I            
   Nickname = J Warriors             Coach  =   Mike Dowd             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8726959    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Toms River North       NJ    Grp-IV  (11- 7, 78.6)    15- 2   
 404 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-B   ( 7-11, 72.5)    12- 0   
 406 A Howell                 NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 81.4)     4-12   
 411 H Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (13- 6, 89.8)     3-11   
 415 A Jackson Memorial       NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 7, 77.5)     8- 3   
 418 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (16- 3, 87.0)     4-15   
 420 A Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-A   ( 6-10, 70.6)    13- 1   
 424 A Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III ( 7-11, 73.0)     4- 3  o
 427 H Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  (11-10, 76.8)    13- 7   
 429 A Toms River South       NJ    Grp-III ( 8-10, 74.1)    17-10   
 501 A A.L.Johnson-Clark      NJ    Grp-I   (11- 9, 83.7)    10-12   
 502 A St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 9-11, 76.5)    14- 8   
 506 A Colt's Neck            NJ    Grp-III ( 5- 9, 74.6)     4- 2   
 509 A Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 6, 80.2)     5-13   
 510 H St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 7- 8, 70.5)    15- 1   
 513 H Moorestown             NJ    Grp-II  (11- 7, 91.0)     4-14   
 515 H Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 6, 80.2)    16- 6   
 517 A Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (13- 6, 89.8)     3-15   
 523 A Kinnelon               NJ    Grp-I   (10- 8, 88.4)     1-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Toms River North       15- 2      13     3    +++    6.63
   404 H Red Bank Catholic      12- 0      12     9           0.52
   406 A Howell                  4-12      -8     0    ---   -7.05
   411 H Christian Bros          3-11      -8    -7          -0.16
   415 A Jackson Memorial        8- 3       5     2    +      2.06
   418 A Rumson-Fair Haven       4-15     -11    -6    -     -3.40
   420 A Monsignor Donovan      13- 1      12     9           0.23
   424 A Toms River East         4- 3  o    1     7    ---   -6.41
   427 H Freehold Township      13- 7       6     5           0.87
   429 A Toms River South       17-10       7     6           0.74
   501 A A.L.Johnson-Clark      10-12      -2    -3           1.25
   502 A St Rose Belmar         14- 8       6     3    +      2.12
   506 A Colt's Neck             4- 2       2     5    -     -3.85
   509 A Southern Regional       5-13      -8     0    ---   -8.22
   510 H St John Vianney        15- 1      14    11           0.00
   513 H Moorestown              4-14     -10    -9          -0.96
   515 H Southern Regional      16- 6      10     1    +++    8.21
   517 A Christian Bros          3-15     -12    -9          -0.60
   523 A Kinnelon                1-12     -11    -7    -     -2.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Howell                  4-12      -8     0    ---   -7.05
   424 A Toms River East         4- 3  o    1     7    ---   -6.41
   509 A Southern Regional       5-13      -8     0    ---   -8.22
   418 A Rumson-Fair Haven       4-15     -11    -6    -     -3.40
   506 A Colt's Neck             4- 2       2     5    -     -3.85
   523 A Kinnelon                1-12     -11    -7    -     -2.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Toms River North       15- 2      13     3    +++    6.63
   515 H Southern Regional      16- 6      10     1    +++    8.21
   415 A Jackson Memorial        8- 3       5     2    +      2.06
   502 A St Rose Belmar         14- 8       6     3    +      2.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.19 Local Power Rank...........    57
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.62 Local SOS Rank.............    58
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    71
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    59
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/