Conf = Shore Region = NJ Grp-I Nickname = J Warriors Coach = Mike DowdGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.8726959 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Toms River North NJ Grp-IV (11- 7, 78.6) 15- 2 404 H Red Bank Catholic NJ Grp-B ( 7-11, 72.5) 12- 0 406 A Howell NJ Grp-III (11- 6, 81.4) 4-12 411 H Christian Bros NJ Grp-A (13- 6, 89.8) 3-11 415 A Jackson Memorial NJ Grp-IV (10- 7, 77.5) 8- 3 418 A Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (16- 3, 87.0) 4-15 420 A Monsignor Donovan NJ Grp-A ( 6-10, 70.6) 13- 1 424 A Toms River East NJ Grp-III ( 7-11, 73.0) 4- 3 o 427 H Freehold Township NJ Grp-IV (11-10, 76.8) 13- 7 429 A Toms River South NJ Grp-III ( 8-10, 74.1) 17-10 501 A A.L.Johnson-Clark NJ Grp-I (11- 9, 83.7) 10-12 502 A St Rose Belmar NJ Grp-B ( 9-11, 76.5) 14- 8 506 A Colt's Neck NJ Grp-III ( 5- 9, 74.6) 4- 2 509 A Southern Regional NJ Grp-IV (14- 6, 80.2) 5-13 510 H St John Vianney NJ Grp-A ( 7- 8, 70.5) 15- 1 513 H Moorestown NJ Grp-II (11- 7, 91.0) 4-14 515 H Southern Regional NJ Grp-IV (14- 6, 80.2) 16- 6 517 A Christian Bros NJ Grp-A (13- 6, 89.8) 3-15 523 A Kinnelon NJ Grp-I (10- 8, 88.4) 1-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Toms River North 15- 2 13 3 +++ 6.63 404 H Red Bank Catholic 12- 0 12 9 0.52 406 A Howell 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.05 411 H Christian Bros 3-11 -8 -7 -0.16 415 A Jackson Memorial 8- 3 5 2 + 2.06 418 A Rumson-Fair Haven 4-15 -11 -6 - -3.40 420 A Monsignor Donovan 13- 1 12 9 0.23 424 A Toms River East 4- 3 o 1 7 --- -6.41 427 H Freehold Township 13- 7 6 5 0.87 429 A Toms River South 17-10 7 6 0.74 501 A A.L.Johnson-Clark 10-12 -2 -3 1.25 502 A St Rose Belmar 14- 8 6 3 + 2.12 506 A Colt's Neck 4- 2 2 5 - -3.85 509 A Southern Regional 5-13 -8 0 --- -8.22 510 H St John Vianney 15- 1 14 11 0.00 513 H Moorestown 4-14 -10 -9 -0.96 515 H Southern Regional 16- 6 10 1 +++ 8.21 517 A Christian Bros 3-15 -12 -9 -0.60 523 A Kinnelon 1-12 -11 -7 - -2.03UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Howell 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.05 424 A Toms River East 4- 3 o 1 7 --- -6.41 509 A Southern Regional 5-13 -8 0 --- -8.22 418 A Rumson-Fair Haven 4-15 -11 -6 - -3.40 506 A Colt's Neck 4- 2 2 5 - -3.85 523 A Kinnelon 1-12 -11 -7 - -2.03OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Toms River North 15- 2 13 3 +++ 6.63 515 H Southern Regional 16- 6 10 1 +++ 8.21 415 A Jackson Memorial 8- 3 5 2 + 2.06 502 A St Rose Belmar 14- 8 6 3 + 2.12/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.19 Local Power Rank........... 57 Local SOS Rating......... 57.62 Local SOS Rank............. 58 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 37 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 71 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 59 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3