Mahtomedi                     4 - 6


 
                                     Region = MN    Cl-Sub           
   Nickname = N Zephyrs              Coach  =   Jim Reilly            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   85.8570709    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 411 H St Thomas Academy      MN    Cl-Sub  ( 3- 8, 73.1)    12-11  o
 417 A Apple Valley           MN    Lake-2  ( 8- 5, 89.2)     3-10   
 420 H Eagan                  MN    Lake-2  ( 7- 5, 90.0)     0- 7   
 428 A Stillwater             MN    Cl-Sub  ( 3- 7, 72.6)    10- 1   
 429 A Edina                  MN    LakeCl  (10- 2, 92.6)     1-11   
 501 H Eastview               MN    Lake-2  ( 9- 2, 92.3)  6
 509 A White Bear Lake        MN    Cl-Sub  (10- 2, 87.5)     4- 8   
 512 A Hill-Murray            MN    Cl-Sub  ( 3- 7, 76.7)    10- 4   
 518 H Totino Grace           MN    Cl-Sub  (10- 7, 89.8)     2-15   
 520 H Superior               MN    Cl-Sub  ( 2- 8, 72.6)     6- 1   
 525 A MontiQuois             MN    NW-Sub  ( 7- 5, 87.4)    11-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H St Thomas Academy      12-11  o    1     6    --    -5.72
   417 A Apple Valley            3-10      -7    -9    +      2.39
   420 H Eagan                   0- 7      -7   -10    +      3.00
   428 A Stillwater             10- 1       9     7           1.80
   429 A Edina                   1-11     -10   -12           0.00
   509 A White Bear Lake         4- 8      -4    -7    +      3.67
   512 A Hill-Murray            10- 4       6     3    +      2.91
   518 H Totino Grace            2-15     -13    -9          -0.03
   520 H Superior                6- 1       5     7    -     -2.21
   525 A MontiQuois             11-13      -2    -7    ++     5.53


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H St Thomas Academy      12-11  o    1     6    --    -5.72
   520 H Superior                6- 1       5     7    -     -2.21


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   525 A MontiQuois             11-13      -2    -7    ++     5.53
   417 A Apple Valley            3-10      -7    -9    +      2.39
   420 H Eagan                   0- 7      -7   -10    +      3.00
   509 A White Bear Lake         4- 8      -4    -7    +      3.67
   512 A Hill-Murray            10- 4       6     3    +      2.91




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.85 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.11 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3


  
/