Conf =  Catholic                  Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Rick Mazzei           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7483749    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA 3          (19- 2, 87.0)     6- 4   
 404 H Catholic Memorial      MA 2          ( 5-12, 79.5)     9- 5   
 406 A Acton Boxborough       MA 1          (11- 9, 83.0)    13- 6   
 408 H Beverly                MA 1          (14- 8, 84.8)     8- 7   
 413 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (18- 4, 91.1)     9-12   
 415 H Francis Parker         CA    Coastal (11- 8, 89.9)    10- 4   
 417 A Chelmsford             MA 1          (11- 9, 81.6)     8- 9  o
 422 A Mount St Joseph        MD A  MIAA    (12- 7, 92.0)     4-15   
 425 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (14- 6, 89.2)     5-15   
 501 H Peabody                MA 1          (16- 6, 84.2)     7- 3   
 502 A Catholic Memorial      MA 2          ( 5-12, 79.5)     8- 5   
 504 H Boston College HS      MA 1          (10-10, 85.0)     7- 6   
 506 H Totino Grace           MN    Cl-Sub  (10- 7, 89.8)     8- 4   
 508 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (18- 4, 91.1)    13-12  o
 511 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (14- 6, 89.2)    16-17  o
 516 A Arlington              MA 2          (17- 4, 85.5)    10- 7   
 518 H Duxbury                MA 1          (22- 0, 99.9)     8-16   
 522 N Boston College HS      MA 1          (10-10, 85.0)    10-11 2o
 524 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (14- 6, 99.9)    13- 7   
 530 H Weymouth               MA 1          ( 9-10, 80.1)    12- 5   
 604 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (14- 6, 89.2)    11-10  o
 609 A Andover HS             MA 1          (18- 2, 90.9)    15-10   
 611 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (18- 4, 91.1)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Hamilton-Wenham         6- 4       2     1           0.26
   404 H Catholic Memorial       9- 5       4     9    --    -5.23
   406 A Acton Boxborough       13- 6       7     4    +      2.82
   408 H Beverly                 8- 7       1     3    -     -2.99
   413 H Xaverian Bros           9-12      -3    -2          -0.62
   415 H Francis Parker         10- 4       6    -1          n/a  
   417 A Chelmsford              8- 9  o   -1     5    ---   -6.62
   422 A Mount St Joseph         4-15     -11    -4          n/a  
   425 H St Johns Prep Danvers   5-15     -10     0    ---   -9.60
   501 H Peabody                 7- 3       4     4          -0.54
   502 A Catholic Memorial       8- 5       3     7    --    -4.70
   504 H Boston College HS       7- 6       1     3    -     -2.72
   506 H Totino Grace            8- 4       4    -1          n/a  
   508 A Xaverian Bros          13-12  o    1    -3    ++     4.90
   511 A St Johns Prep Danvers  16-17  o   -1    -1           0.92
   516 A Arlington              10- 7       3     1           1.29
   518 H Duxbury                 8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
   522 N Boston College HS      10-11 2o   -1     2    -     -3.96
   524 H St Johns Shrewsbury    13- 7       6   -11          n/a  
   530 H Weymouth               12- 5       7     8          -1.69
   604 A St Johns Prep Danvers  11-10  o    1    -1    +      2.92
   609 A Andover HS             15-10       5    -3    +++    8.64
   611 A Xaverian Bros           9-14      -5    -3          -1.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Chelmsford              8- 9  o   -1     5    ---   -6.62
   425 H St Johns Prep Danvers   5-15     -10     0    ---   -9.60
   404 H Catholic Memorial       9- 5       4     9    --    -5.23
   422 A Mount St Joseph         4-15     -11    -4    --         
   502 A Catholic Memorial       8- 5       3     7    --    -4.70
   408 H Beverly                 8- 7       1     3    -     -2.99
   504 H Boston College HS       7- 6       1     3    -     -2.72
   522 N Boston College HS      10-11 2o   -1     2    -     -3.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Francis Parker         10- 4       6    -1    +++        
   524 H St Johns Shrewsbury    13- 7       6   -11    +++        
   609 A Andover HS             15-10       5    -3    +++    8.64
   506 H Totino Grace            8- 4       4    -1    ++         
   508 A Xaverian Bros          13-12  o    1    -3    ++     4.90
   406 A Acton Boxborough       13- 6       7     4    +      2.82
   518 H Duxbury                 8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
   604 A St Johns Prep Danvers  11-10  o    1    -1    +      2.92
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.99 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.68 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    64
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/