Conf = Catholic Region = MA 1 Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Rick MazzeiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.7483749 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 331 H Hamilton-Wenham MA 3 (19- 2, 87.0) 6- 4 404 H Catholic Memorial MA 2 ( 5-12, 79.5) 9- 5 406 A Acton Boxborough MA 1 (11- 9, 83.0) 13- 6 408 H Beverly MA 1 (14- 8, 84.8) 8- 7 413 H Xaverian Bros MA 1 (18- 4, 91.1) 9-12 415 H Francis Parker CA Coastal (11- 8, 89.9) 10- 4 417 A Chelmsford MA 1 (11- 9, 81.6) 8- 9 o 422 A Mount St Joseph MD A MIAA (12- 7, 92.0) 4-15 425 H St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 (14- 6, 89.2) 5-15 501 H Peabody MA 1 (16- 6, 84.2) 7- 3 502 A Catholic Memorial MA 2 ( 5-12, 79.5) 8- 5 504 H Boston College HS MA 1 (10-10, 85.0) 7- 6 506 H Totino Grace MN Cl-Sub (10- 7, 89.8) 8- 4 508 A Xaverian Bros MA 1 (18- 4, 91.1) 13-12 o 511 A St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 (14- 6, 89.2) 16-17 o 516 A Arlington MA 2 (17- 4, 85.5) 10- 7 518 H Duxbury MA 1 (22- 0, 99.9) 8-16 522 N Boston College HS MA 1 (10-10, 85.0) 10-11 2o 524 H St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 (14- 6, 99.9) 13- 7 530 H Weymouth MA 1 ( 9-10, 80.1) 12- 5 604 A St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 (14- 6, 89.2) 11-10 o 609 A Andover HS MA 1 (18- 2, 90.9) 15-10 611 A Xaverian Bros MA 1 (18- 4, 91.1) 9-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 H Hamilton-Wenham 6- 4 2 1 0.26 404 H Catholic Memorial 9- 5 4 9 -- -5.23 406 A Acton Boxborough 13- 6 7 4 + 2.82 408 H Beverly 8- 7 1 3 - -2.99 413 H Xaverian Bros 9-12 -3 -2 -0.62 415 H Francis Parker 10- 4 6 -1 n/a 417 A Chelmsford 8- 9 o -1 5 --- -6.62 422 A Mount St Joseph 4-15 -11 -4 n/a 425 H St Johns Prep Danvers 5-15 -10 0 --- -9.60 501 H Peabody 7- 3 4 4 -0.54 502 A Catholic Memorial 8- 5 3 7 -- -4.70 504 H Boston College HS 7- 6 1 3 - -2.72 506 H Totino Grace 8- 4 4 -1 n/a 508 A Xaverian Bros 13-12 o 1 -3 ++ 4.90 511 A St Johns Prep Danvers 16-17 o -1 -1 0.92 516 A Arlington 10- 7 3 1 1.29 518 H Duxbury 8-16 -8 -11 + 2.00 522 N Boston College HS 10-11 2o -1 2 - -3.96 524 H St Johns Shrewsbury 13- 7 6 -11 n/a 530 H Weymouth 12- 5 7 8 -1.69 604 A St Johns Prep Danvers 11-10 o 1 -1 + 2.92 609 A Andover HS 15-10 5 -3 +++ 8.64 611 A Xaverian Bros 9-14 -5 -3 -1.10UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Chelmsford 8- 9 o -1 5 --- -6.62 425 H St Johns Prep Danvers 5-15 -10 0 --- -9.60 404 H Catholic Memorial 9- 5 4 9 -- -5.23 422 A Mount St Joseph 4-15 -11 -4 -- 502 A Catholic Memorial 8- 5 3 7 -- -4.70 408 H Beverly 8- 7 1 3 - -2.99 504 H Boston College HS 7- 6 1 3 - -2.72 522 N Boston College HS 10-11 2o -1 2 - -3.96OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Francis Parker 10- 4 6 -1 +++ 524 H St Johns Shrewsbury 13- 7 6 -11 +++ 609 A Andover HS 15-10 5 -3 +++ 8.64 506 H Totino Grace 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 508 A Xaverian Bros 13-12 o 1 -3 ++ 4.90 406 A Acton Boxborough 13- 6 7 4 + 2.82 518 H Duxbury 8-16 -8 -11 + 2.00 604 A St Johns Prep Danvers 11-10 o 1 -1 + 2.92/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.99 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 72.68 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.65 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 64 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 16 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3