Region = PA Mid 1 Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Larry ThomasGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.8869400 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Central Susquehanna PA CSNLL ( 6-10, 79.5) 14- 5 404 H Chambersburg PA Mid 1 ( 0- 8, 72.6) 6- 0 406 H Harrisburg Academy PA Mid 1 ( 3-13, 75.2) 13- 3 408 A Central Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 8- 6, 87.1) 4-12 412 A Ephrata PA LL04 (13- 6, 89.0) 8-12 414 H Conestoga Valley PA LL04 ( 9-10, 86.1) 7- 6 418 H Warwick PA LL04 (13- 8, 87.9) 3-10 420 H Bishop McDevitt PA Mid 1 ( 7-11, 79.1) 14-13 425 A Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 (15- 6, 93.3) 3- 6 428 A Elizabethtown PA LL04 ( 0-12, 72.4) 9- 4 502 H Central Dauphin East PA Mid 1 ( 8- 5, 83.2) 17- 3 505 A Lancaster Country Day PA LL04 (14- 7, 91.9) 6-17 509 A Red Lion PA York 1 (11- 8, 87.6) 6-13 511 H Carlisle PA Mid 1 (10- 9, 92.1) 3-12 513 A Hershey PA Mid 1 (13- 8, 86.8) 8- 9 516 A South-Western PA York 1 (10- 5, 86.4) 14- 9 518 H Palmyra PA Mid 1 ( 4-11, 78.5) 9- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Central Susquehanna 14- 5 9 6 + 2.37 404 H Chambersburg 6- 0 6 13 -- -4.00 406 H Harrisburg Academy 13- 3 10 10 0.00 408 A Central Dauphin 4-12 -8 -2 -- -5.15 412 A Ephrata 8-12 -4 -4 0.74 414 H Conestoga Valley 7- 6 1 0 1.00 418 H Warwick 3-10 -7 -1 -- -5.18 420 H Bishop McDevitt 14-13 1 6 -- -5.96 425 A Cumberland Valley 3- 6 -3 -8 ++ 6.00 428 A Elizabethtown 9- 4 5 11 -- -5.00 502 H Central Dauphin East 17- 3 14 2 +++ 7.13 505 A Lancaster Country Day 6-17 -11 -7 - -2.42 509 A Red Lion 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.67 511 H Carlisle 3-12 -9 -6 - -2.97 513 A Hershey 8- 9 -1 -2 1.48 516 A South-Western 14- 9 5 -2 +++ 7.11 518 H Palmyra 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.59UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Chambersburg 6- 0 6 13 -- -4.00 408 A Central Dauphin 4-12 -8 -2 -- -5.15 418 H Warwick 3-10 -7 -1 -- -5.18 420 H Bishop McDevitt 14-13 1 6 -- -5.96 428 A Elizabethtown 9- 4 5 11 -- -5.00 518 H Palmyra 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.59 505 A Lancaster Country Day 6-17 -11 -7 - -2.42 509 A Red Lion 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.67 511 H Carlisle 3-12 -9 -6 - -2.97OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Central Dauphin East 17- 3 14 2 +++ 7.13 516 A South-Western 14- 9 5 -2 +++ 7.11 425 A Cumberland Valley 3- 6 -3 -8 ++ 6.00 401 H Central Susquehanna 14- 5 9 6 + 2.37/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.19 Local Power Rank........... 15 Local SOS Rating......... 65.47 Local SOS Rank............. 13 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 22 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0