Region = PA    Mid 1            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Larry Thomas          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.8869400    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Central Susquehanna    PA    CSNLL   ( 6-10, 79.5)    14- 5   
 404 H Chambersburg           PA    Mid 1   ( 0- 8, 72.6)     6- 0   
 406 H Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 3-13, 75.2)    13- 3   
 408 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 8- 6, 87.1)     4-12   
 412 A Ephrata                PA    LL04    (13- 6, 89.0)     8-12   
 414 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    ( 9-10, 86.1)     7- 6   
 418 H Warwick                PA    LL04    (13- 8, 87.9)     3-10   
 420 H Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 7-11, 79.1)    14-13   
 425 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (15- 6, 93.3)     3- 6   
 428 A Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 0-12, 72.4)     9- 4   
 502 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 8- 5, 83.2)    17- 3   
 505 A Lancaster Country Day  PA    LL04    (14- 7, 91.9)     6-17   
 509 A Red Lion               PA    York 1  (11- 8, 87.6)     6-13   
 511 H Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (10- 9, 92.1)     3-12   
 513 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (13- 8, 86.8)     8- 9   
 516 A South-Western          PA    York 1  (10- 5, 86.4)    14- 9   
 518 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 4-11, 78.5)     9- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Central Susquehanna    14- 5       9     6    +      2.37
   404 H Chambersburg            6- 0       6    13    --    -4.00
   406 H Harrisburg Academy     13- 3      10    10           0.00
   408 A Central Dauphin         4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.15
   412 A Ephrata                 8-12      -4    -4           0.74
   414 H Conestoga Valley        7- 6       1     0           1.00
   418 H Warwick                 3-10      -7    -1    --    -5.18
   420 H Bishop McDevitt        14-13       1     6    --    -5.96
   425 A Cumberland Valley       3- 6      -3    -8    ++     6.00
   428 A Elizabethtown           9- 4       5    11    --    -5.00
   502 H Central Dauphin East   17- 3      14     2    +++    7.13
   505 A Lancaster Country Day   6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.42
   509 A Red Lion                6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.67
   511 H Carlisle                3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.97
   513 A Hershey                 8- 9      -1    -2           1.48
   516 A South-Western          14- 9       5    -2    +++    7.11
   518 H Palmyra                 9- 7       2     7    --    -5.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Chambersburg            6- 0       6    13    --    -4.00
   408 A Central Dauphin         4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.15
   418 H Warwick                 3-10      -7    -1    --    -5.18
   420 H Bishop McDevitt        14-13       1     6    --    -5.96
   428 A Elizabethtown           9- 4       5    11    --    -5.00
   518 H Palmyra                 9- 7       2     7    --    -5.59
   505 A Lancaster Country Day   6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.42
   509 A Red Lion                6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.67
   511 H Carlisle                3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Central Dauphin East   17- 3      14     2    +++    7.13
   516 A South-Western          14- 9       5    -2    +++    7.11
   425 A Cumberland Valley       3- 6      -3    -8    ++     6.00
   401 H Central Susquehanna    14- 5       9     6    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.19 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.47 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
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