Region = PA LL04 Nickname = A Cougars Coach = Rob UmbleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.6354370 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Elizabethtown PA LL04 ( 0-12, 72.4) 17- 0 321 H Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 (15- 6, 93.3) 8-12 323 H Dallastown PA York 1 ( 6- 6, 81.6) 13- 4 330 A Warwick PA LL04 (13- 8, 87.9) 9- 8 404 A Manheim Township PA LL04 (23- 5, 99.9) 8-13 406 A Conestoga Valley PA LL04 ( 9-10, 86.1) 14-10 408 A Penn Charter PA IAC (19-11, 93.3) 3-11 411 H Ephrata PA LL04 (13- 6, 89.0) 14-11 418 A Hershey PA Mid 1 (13- 8, 86.8) 15-14 420 A Red Lion PA York 1 (11- 8, 87.6) 12-10 425 A Cocalico PA LL04 ( 1-10, 72.4) 17- 4 427 H Central Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 8- 6, 87.1) 12- 6 429 H Friends Central PA Noeast (14- 5, 82.2) 22- 6 502 H Penn Manor PA LL04 ( 3-10, 79.7) 14- 4 503 A Mercersburg Academy PA Indep (12- 3, 92.6) 6- 9 505 H Lower Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 9- 8, 85.2) 17- 6 509 A Lampeter-Strasburg PA LL04 (11- 7, 85.7) 14- 5 511 H Hempfield PA LL04 (15-10, 93.8) 7-17 516 H Conestoga Valley PA LL04 ( 9-10, 86.1) 12-10 519 A Hempfield PA LL04 (15-10, 93.8) 6- 9 526 A Carlisle PA Mid 1 (10- 9, 92.1) 12-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Elizabethtown 17- 0 17 20 0.00 321 H Cumberland Valley 8-12 -4 0 - -3.48 323 H Dallastown 13- 4 9 11 -1.00 330 A Warwick 9- 8 1 3 - -2.06 404 A Manheim Township 8-13 -5 -8 + 3.93 406 A Conestoga Valley 14-10 4 4 -0.88 408 A Penn Charter 3-11 -8 -2 n/a 411 H Ephrata 14-11 3 3 -0.74 418 A Hershey 15-14 1 4 - -3.20 420 A Red Lion 12-10 2 3 -1.35 425 A Cocalico 17- 4 13 18 0.00 427 H Central Dauphin 12- 6 6 5 0.37 429 H Friends Central 22- 6 16 10 n/a 502 H Penn Manor 14- 4 10 13 0.00 503 A Mercersburg Academy 6- 9 -3 -1 n/a 505 H Lower Dauphin 17- 6 11 7 + 2.42 509 A Lampeter-Strasburg 14- 5 9 5 + 3.71 511 H Hempfield 7-17 -10 -1 --- -8.99 516 H Conestoga Valley 12-10 2 6 -- -4.68 519 A Hempfield 6- 9 -3 -2 -0.19 526 A Carlisle 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.85UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 511 H Hempfield 7-17 -10 -1 --- -8.99 408 A Penn Charter 3-11 -8 -2 -- 516 H Conestoga Valley 12-10 2 6 -- -4.68 526 A Carlisle 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.85 321 H Cumberland Valley 8-12 -4 0 - -3.48 330 A Warwick 9- 8 1 3 - -2.06 418 A Hershey 15-14 1 4 - -3.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Manheim Township 8-13 -5 -8 + 3.93 505 H Lower Dauphin 17- 6 11 7 + 2.42 509 A Lampeter-Strasburg 14- 5 9 5 + 3.71/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.87 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 71.53 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 4 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.6 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3