Region = PA    LL04             
   Nickname = A Cougars              Coach  =   Rob Umble             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6354370    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 H Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 0-12, 72.4)    17- 0   
 321 H Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (15- 6, 93.3)     8-12   
 323 H Dallastown             PA    York 1  ( 6- 6, 81.6)    13- 4   
 330 A Warwick                PA    LL04    (13- 8, 87.9)     9- 8   
 404 A Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (23- 5, 99.9)     8-13   
 406 A Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    ( 9-10, 86.1)    14-10   
 408 A Penn Charter           PA    IAC     (19-11, 93.3)     3-11   
 411 H Ephrata                PA    LL04    (13- 6, 89.0)    14-11   
 418 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (13- 8, 86.8)    15-14   
 420 A Red Lion               PA    York 1  (11- 8, 87.6)    12-10   
 425 A Cocalico               PA    LL04    ( 1-10, 72.4)    17- 4   
 427 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 8- 6, 87.1)    12- 6   
 429 H Friends Central        PA    Noeast  (14- 5, 82.2)    22- 6   
 502 H Penn Manor             PA    LL04    ( 3-10, 79.7)    14- 4   
 503 A Mercersburg Academy    PA    Indep   (12- 3, 92.6)     6- 9   
 505 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 8, 85.2)    17- 6   
 509 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (11- 7, 85.7)    14- 5   
 511 H Hempfield              PA    LL04    (15-10, 93.8)     7-17   
 516 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    ( 9-10, 86.1)    12-10   
 519 A Hempfield              PA    LL04    (15-10, 93.8)     6- 9   
 526 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (10- 9, 92.1)    12-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Elizabethtown          17- 0      17    20           0.00
   321 H Cumberland Valley       8-12      -4     0    -     -3.48
   323 H Dallastown             13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   330 A Warwick                 9- 8       1     3    -     -2.06
   404 A Manheim Township        8-13      -5    -8    +      3.93
   406 A Conestoga Valley       14-10       4     4          -0.88
   408 A Penn Charter            3-11      -8    -2          n/a  
   411 H Ephrata                14-11       3     3          -0.74
   418 A Hershey                15-14       1     4    -     -3.20
   420 A Red Lion               12-10       2     3          -1.35
   425 A Cocalico               17- 4      13    18           0.00
   427 H Central Dauphin        12- 6       6     5           0.37
   429 H Friends Central        22- 6      16    10          n/a  
   502 H Penn Manor             14- 4      10    13           0.00
   503 A Mercersburg Academy     6- 9      -3    -1          n/a  
   505 H Lower Dauphin          17- 6      11     7    +      2.42
   509 A Lampeter-Strasburg     14- 5       9     5    +      3.71
   511 H Hempfield               7-17     -10    -1    ---   -8.99
   516 H Conestoga Valley       12-10       2     6    --    -4.68
   519 A Hempfield               6- 9      -3    -2          -0.19
   526 A Carlisle               12-18      -6    -1    --    -4.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Hempfield               7-17     -10    -1    ---   -8.99
   408 A Penn Charter            3-11      -8    -2    --         
   516 H Conestoga Valley       12-10       2     6    --    -4.68
   526 A Carlisle               12-18      -6    -1    --    -4.85
   321 H Cumberland Valley       8-12      -4     0    -     -3.48
   330 A Warwick                 9- 8       1     3    -     -2.06
   418 A Hershey                15-14       1     4    -     -3.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Manheim Township        8-13      -5    -8    +      3.93
   505 H Lower Dauphin          17- 6      11     7    +      2.42
   509 A Lampeter-Strasburg     14- 5       9     5    +      3.71
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.87 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.53 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/