Region = OH 1  Reg 4            
   Nickname = H Firebirds            Coach  =   Dave Reed             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.6470947    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Westfield              IN    Indep   ( 8-11, 84.7)    16- 4   
 328 A Kings                  OH 2  Reg 4   ( 2-14, 74.0)    17- 0   
 402 H Westerville South      OH 1  Reg 2   ( 5-11, 81.6)    17-13   
 405 A Anderson Blue          OH 4  South   (14- 3, 99.9)    12- 3   
 410 N Garnet Valley          PA    DelVal  (17- 5, 92.8)     5-19   
 411 N Yorktown               VA    Nationl (15- 1, 93.6)     8- 8   
 418 H Archbishop Moeller     OH 1  Reg 4   (12- 7, 90.5)     5- 8   
 421 H Dublin Coffman         OH 1  Reg 1   (12- 8, 87.5)     9- 8   
 422 H Dublin Jerome          OH 1  Reg 2   (18- 2, 98.7)     2-10   
 427 H Mariemont              OH 1  Reg 4   ( 3- 9, 82.7)    12- 1   
 503 H Cincinnati St Xavier   OH 1  Reg 4   ( 6-15, 85.6)    11- 7   
 505 H Mason                  OH 2  Reg 4   ( 7-13, 79.9)    17- 1   
 509 A Summit Country Day     OH 3  South   (14- 6, 99.7)    12- 8   
 512 A Cincinnati Indian Hill OH 1  Reg 4   ( 9- 5, 91.8)     9-12   
 515 H Cincinnati Cou Day     OH 3  South   (11- 7, 97.3)    18- 6   
 519 H Cincinnati Sycamore    OH 1  Reg 4   (11- 7, 88.6)    15-10   
 523 H Cincinnati St Xavier   OH 1  Reg 4   ( 6-15, 85.6)    10- 9 2o
 526 A Archbishop Moeller     OH 1  Reg 4   (12- 7, 90.5)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Westfield              16- 4      12     3          n/a  
   328 A Kings                  17- 0      17    14          n/a  
   402 H Westerville South      17-13       4     9    --    -5.94
   405 A Anderson Blue          12- 3       9   -11          n/a  
   410 N Garnet Valley           5-19     -14    -2          n/a  
   411 N Yorktown                8- 8       0    -3          n/a  
   418 H Archbishop Moeller      5- 8      -3     1    --    -4.07
   421 H Dublin Coffman          9- 8       1     4    -     -3.09
   422 H Dublin Jerome           2-10      -8    -7          -0.88
   427 H Mariemont              12- 1      11     8           1.08
   503 H Cincinnati St Xavier   11- 7       4     5          -1.98
   505 H Mason                  17- 1      16    11          n/a  
   509 A Summit Country Day     12- 8       4   -10          n/a  
   512 A Cincinnati Indian Hill  9-12      -3    -3           0.60
   515 H Cincinnati Cou Day     18- 6      12    -6          n/a  
   519 H Cincinnati Sycamore    15-10       5     3           1.98
   523 H Cincinnati St Xavier   10- 9 2o    1     5    --    -4.98
   526 A Archbishop Moeller      5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 N Garnet Valley           5-19     -14    -2    ---        
   402 H Westerville South      17-13       4     9    --    -5.94
   418 H Archbishop Moeller      5- 8      -3     1    --    -4.07
   523 H Cincinnati St Xavier   10- 9 2o    1     5    --    -4.98
   526 A Archbishop Moeller      5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.72
   421 H Dublin Coffman          9- 8       1     4    -     -3.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Westfield              16- 4      12     3    +++        
   405 A Anderson Blue          12- 3       9   -11    +++        
   509 A Summit Country Day     12- 8       4   -10    +++        
   515 H Cincinnati Cou Day     18- 6      12    -6    +++        
   411 N Yorktown                8- 8       0    -3    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.90 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.95 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/