Region = PA    LL04             
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Ron Quinto            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.6197739    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 A Lancaster Country Day  PA    LL04    (14- 7, 91.9)     0-17   
 321 A Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (23- 5, 99.9)     0-19   
 411 A Penn Manor             PA    LL04    ( 3-10, 79.7)     3- 6   
 418 H Hempfield              PA    LL04    (15-10, 93.8)     0-14   
 420 H Warwick                PA    LL04    (13- 8, 87.9)     1-13   
 428 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 8, 85.2)     4- 9   
 502 A Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 3-13, 75.2)     6-10   
 505 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    ( 9-10, 86.1)     6-14   
 509 A Ephrata                PA    LL04    (13- 6, 89.0)     1-14   
 511 A Warwick                PA    LL04    (13- 8, 87.9)     2-10   
 512 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (11- 7, 85.7)     5-11   
 516 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (13- 8, 86.8)     4-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Lancaster Country Day   0-17     -17   -20           0.00
   321 A Manheim Township        0-19     -19   -28           0.00
   411 A Penn Manor              3- 6      -3    -8    ++     5.21
   418 H Hempfield               0-14     -14   -20           0.00
   420 H Warwick                 1-13     -12   -14           0.00
   428 H Lower Dauphin           4- 9      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   502 A Harrisburg Academy      6-10      -4    -3          -0.34
   505 H Conestoga Valley        6-14      -8   -12    +      2.00
   509 A Ephrata                 1-14     -13   -17           0.00
   511 A Warwick                 2-10      -8   -16    +      2.00
   512 H Lampeter-Strasburg      5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   516 H Hershey                 4-12      -8   -13    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Penn Manor              3- 6      -3    -8    ++     5.21
   428 H Lower Dauphin           4- 9      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   512 H Lampeter-Strasburg      5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   505 H Conestoga Valley        6-14      -8   -12    +      2.00
   511 A Warwick                 2-10      -8   -16    +      2.00
   516 H Hershey                 4-12      -8   -13    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.40 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.09 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    2.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/