Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Colonels             Coach  =   Jon Davignon          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.2149963    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Morgan-Clinton         CT S          ( 9- 7, 76.4)     8- 9   
 411 H Fitch-Groton           CT L          ( 7-11, 70.1)     9- 6   
 413 A Old Lyme               CT S          (13- 5, 78.9)     9-10  o
 424 A Hamden                 CT L          ( 8-10, 76.1)     4-12   
 426 H East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 84.4)     7-20   
 502 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 8-10, 69.7)     9-10   
 504 H Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 3-12, 63.2)    10- 6   
 505 A Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 5-11, 63.1)    11- 6   
 508 A Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 1-13, 55.2)    13- 2   
 518 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 3-12, 63.2)    15- 7   
 520 A Stonington             CT S          ( 9- 8, 71.3)    11-14   
 522 A Guilford               CT M          ( 8-10, 78.9)    10-17   
 601 A Staples-Westport       CT M          ( 8- 9, 81.3)     6-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Morgan-Clinton          8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.98
   411 H Fitch-Groton            9- 6       3     1           1.63
   413 A Old Lyme                9-10  o   -1    -9    +++    8.91
   424 A Hamden                  4-12      -8    -7          -0.83
   426 H East Lyme               7-20     -13   -12           0.00
   502 H Norwich Free Academy    9-10      -1     1    -     -2.69
   504 H Woodstock Academy      10- 6       4     8    --    -4.22
   505 A Wheeler-No Stonington  11- 6       5     5          -0.83
   508 A Saint Bernard          13- 2      11    13           0.00
   518 A Woodstock Academy      15- 7       8     5    +      2.25
   520 A Stonington             11-14      -3    -2          -0.63
   522 A Guilford               10-17      -7    -9    +      2.88
   601 A Staples-Westport        6-18     -12   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Woodstock Academy      10- 6       4     8    --    -4.22
   502 H Norwich Free Academy    9-10      -1     1    -     -2.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Old Lyme                9-10  o   -1    -9    +++    8.91
   407 H Morgan-Clinton          8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.98
   518 A Woodstock Academy      15- 7       8     5    +      2.25
   522 A Guilford               10-17      -7    -9    +      2.88
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.21 Local Power Rank...........    49
 Local SOS Rating......... 44.60 Local SOS Rank.............    58
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    51
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/