Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Rob Bordley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.7415085    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 N Penn Charter           PA    IAC     (19-11, 93.3)     3- 2   
 318 A Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    ( 9-14, 82.9)     7- 1   
 318 N Severn                 MD A  MIAA    (12-10, 88.7)     9- 7   
 321 H St Paul's              MD A  MIAA    (12- 5, 91.9)     5- 6  o
 324 A St Mary's Annapolis    MD A  MIAA    ( 8- 8, 86.5)     7- 8 2o
 329 A Haverford School       PA    IAC     (22- 2, 99.9)     3-18   
 331 A St Alban's             DC    IAC     (14- 4, 90.7)    10- 6   
 405 A Woodson                VA    Liberty (16- 4, 98.5)     6- 5   
 407 H Bullis                 DC    IAC     (10- 8, 84.7)    11- 2   
 411 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (22- 0, 99.9)     5-10   
 415 A Gilman                 MD A  MIAA    (11- 5, 91.9)     8-13   
 418 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (11- 7, 93.6)     8- 5   
 420 H Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     ( 8-11, 83.1)    15- 4   
 425 H Robinson               VA    Concord (15- 6, 98.3)     9- 5   
 428 A St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     ( 9-10, 85.6)     9- 6   
 503 A Langley                VA    Liberty (13- 5, 97.5)     8- 6   
 505 H Oakton                 VA    Concord (13- 7, 94.9)    14- 3   
 508 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (11- 7, 94.8)     6- 5   
 510 H St Alban's             DC    IAC     (14- 4, 90.7)     4- 3   
 516 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (22- 0, 99.9)     3-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 N Penn Charter            3- 2       1    -2          n/a  
   318 A Archbishop Spalding     7- 1       6     6          -0.63
   318 N Severn                  9- 7       2     1           0.03
   321 H St Paul's               5- 6  o   -1     0          -0.89
   324 A St Mary's Annapolis     7- 8 2o   -1     2    -     -3.98
   329 A Haverford School        3-18     -15   -10          n/a  
   331 A St Alban's             10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.22
   405 A Woodson                 6- 5       1    -8          n/a  
   407 H Bullis                 11- 2       9     7           1.87
   411 A Georgetown Prep         5-10      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   415 A Gilman                  8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.57
   418 A Gonzaga                 8- 5       3    -4          n/a  
   420 H Episcopal HS           15- 4      11     8           1.30
   425 H Robinson                9- 5       4    -7          n/a  
   428 A St Stephen/St Agnes     9- 6       3     3          -0.91
   503 A Langley                 8- 6       2    -7          n/a  
   505 H Oakton                 14- 3      11    -3          n/a  
   508 A DeMatha                 6- 5       1    -5          n/a  
   510 H St Alban's              4- 3       1     1          -0.06
   516 A Georgetown Prep         3-15     -12   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A St Mary's Annapolis     7- 8 2o   -1     2    -     -3.98
   415 A Gilman                  8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Woodson                 6- 5       1    -8    +++        
   418 A Gonzaga                 8- 5       3    -4    +++        
   425 H Robinson                9- 5       4    -7    +++        
   503 A Langley                 8- 6       2    -7    +++        
   505 H Oakton                 14- 3      11    -3    +++        
   508 A DeMatha                 6- 5       1    -5    +++        
   331 A St Alban's             10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.22
   411 A Georgetown Prep         5-10      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   317 N Penn Charter            3- 2       1    -2    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.65 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.56 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/