Conf = Gibbs Region = NJ Grp-I Nickname = J Colts Coach = Kevin KellyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.2944641 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Fair Lawn NJ Grp-III (14- 6, 87.2) 7- 5 404 A Randolph NJ Grp-III (16- 5, 92.1) 8- 7 411 H Glen Ridge NJ Grp-I (10-10, 82.2) 8- 9 413 A Pope John XXIII NJ Grp-B (12- 7, 81.6) 13- 2 415 A Montclair NJ Grp-IV (16- 6, 91.1) 6- 7 2o 418 H Shawnee NJ Grp-III (14- 3, 90.4) 11- 9 422 A Delbarton NJ Grp-A (21- 1, 99.9) 7-14 425 H Sparta NJ Grp-II (14- 4, 88.7) 4- 3 427 H Bergen Catholic NJ Grp-A (16- 7, 89.6) 8-13 502 A Montville NJ Grp-II ( 2-16, 69.8) 15- 3 506 H Don Bosco Prep NJ Grp-A (13- 5, 90.4) 8- 7 508 H Mendham NJ Grp-II ( 5-11, 79.0) 13- 1 510 A Mountain Lakes NJ Grp-I (21- 2, 96.6) 9-10 o 515 A Ridgewood NJ Grp-III (14- 9, 90.8) 7- 9 518 H Mountain Lakes NJ Grp-I (21- 2, 96.6) 4- 8 520 H Madison Boro NJ Grp-I (16- 4, 92.8) 9- 8 523 H Manasquan NJ Grp-I (11- 8, 81.2) 12- 1 527 A Chatham NJ Grp-I (15- 5, 92.5) 6-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Fair Lawn 7- 5 2 1 0.03 404 A Randolph 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 5.51 411 H Glen Ridge 8- 9 -1 6 --- -7.93 413 A Pope John XXIII 13- 2 11 6 + 3.99 415 A Montclair 6- 7 2o -1 -3 + 2.48 418 H Shawnee 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.20 422 A Delbarton 7-14 -7 -12 + 3.00 425 H Sparta 4- 3 1 0 0.50 427 H Bergen Catholic 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.56 502 A Montville 15- 3 12 17 0.00 506 H Don Bosco Prep 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.27 508 H Mendham 13- 1 12 10 0.00 510 A Mountain Lakes 9-10 o -1 -9 +++ 8.02 515 A Ridgewood 7- 9 -2 -3 1.17 518 H Mountain Lakes 4- 8 -4 -7 + 3.45 520 H Madison Boro 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.60 523 H Manasquan 12- 1 11 7 + 2.03 527 A Chatham 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.09UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Glen Ridge 8- 9 -1 6 --- -7.93 427 H Bergen Catholic 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.56 527 A Chatham 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.09OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 A Mountain Lakes 9-10 o -1 -9 +++ 8.02 404 A Randolph 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 5.51 520 H Madison Boro 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.60 413 A Pope John XXIII 13- 2 11 6 + 3.99 415 A Montclair 6- 7 2o -1 -3 + 2.48 418 H Shawnee 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.20 422 A Delbarton 7-14 -7 -12 + 3.00 506 H Don Bosco Prep 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.27 518 H Mountain Lakes 4- 8 -4 -7 + 3.45 523 H Manasquan 12- 1 11 7 + 2.03/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.38 Local Power Rank........... 29 Local SOS Rating......... 74.50 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 12 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 33 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7