Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Jamie Sliwa           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.6444092    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Green Hope             NC    4A      (12- 6, 92.3)     8- 7   
 303 A Athens Drive           NC    4A      ( 3-15, 79.5)    13- 7   
 307 H St Anne's-Belfield     VA 1  VIP     (12- 6, 93.9)     3- 9   
 310 N Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    ( 9-14, 82.9)     3-11   
 314 H Apex                   NC    4A      (17- 3, 97.8)     7-11   
 316 H Winter Park            FL 7B Centrl  (17- 5, 99.9)    10-12   
 317 H SouthEast Raleigh      NC    4A      ( 4-10, 77.0)    17- 2   
 322 H Durham Academy         NC    Prvate  (12-10, 86.3)    10- 5   
 323 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (21- 3, 99.6)    11-16   
 329 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    4A      ( 3-11, 74.7)    21- 5   
 331 A Wilmington Laney       NC    4A      ( 7- 8, 88.0)     8- 6   
 404 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 4, 99.9)     6- 9   
 405 H Ravenscroft School     NC    Prvate  ( 9-11, 81.9)    14- 5   
 407 H Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 4-16, 74.8)    21- 3   
 411 A Durham Riverside       NC    4A      ( 9-10, 91.7)    14-10   
 418 H Wakefield-Raleigh      NC    4A      (10- 7, 88.4)    19- 9   
 420 H Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 1-13, 71.7)    19- 1   
 425 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (21- 3, 99.6)     7-14   
 428 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 4, 99.9)     4-14   
 502 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 4-16, 74.8)    15- 4   
 504 H Durham Riverside       NC    4A      ( 9-10, 91.7)    10- 9  o
 509 H Wilmington Hoggard     NC    4A      ( 8- 6, 88.7)    18- 6   
 512 A Greensboro Grimsley    NC    4A      (16- 5, 94.2)    12- 4   
 517 N Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (21- 3, 99.6)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Green Hope              8- 7       1     0           0.28
   303 A Athens Drive           13- 7       6    13    --    -4.00
   307 H St Anne's-Belfield      3- 9      -6     0          n/a  
   310 N Archbishop Spalding     3-11      -8    10          n/a  
   314 H Apex                    7-11      -4    -4           0.26
   316 H Winter Park            10-12      -2    -5          n/a  
   317 H SouthEast Raleigh      17- 2      15    16           0.00
   322 H Durham Academy         10- 5       5     7          n/a  
   323 H Chapel Hill            11-16      -5    -6           1.06
   329 A Wilmington New Hanover 21- 5      16    18           0.00
   331 A Wilmington Laney        8- 6       2     4    -     -2.99
   404 A East Chapel Hill        6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.93
   405 H Ravenscroft School     14- 5       9    11          n/a  
   407 H Northern Durham        21- 3      18    18           0.00
   411 A Durham Riverside       14-10       4     1    +      2.73
   418 H Wakefield-Raleigh      19- 9      10     5    ++     4.83
   420 H Cary-Middle Creek      19- 1      18    21           0.00
   425 A Chapel Hill             7-14      -7    -6          -0.37
   428 H East Chapel Hill        4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.64
   502 A Northern Durham        15- 4      11    18           0.00
   504 H Durham Riverside       10- 9  o    1     1          -0.84
   509 H Wilmington Hoggard     18- 6      12     4    ++     5.14
   512 A Greensboro Grimsley    12- 4       8    -1    +++    9.22
   517 N Chapel Hill             6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H St Anne's-Belfield      3- 9      -6     0    ---        
   310 N Archbishop Spalding     3-11      -8    10    ---        
   303 A Athens Drive           13- 7       6    13    --    -4.00
   322 H Durham Academy         10- 5       5     7    -          
   331 A Wilmington Laney        8- 6       2     4    -     -2.99
   428 H East Chapel Hill        4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.64
   517 N Chapel Hill             6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Greensboro Grimsley    12- 4       8    -1    +++    9.22
   418 H Wakefield-Raleigh      19- 9      10     5    ++     4.83
   509 H Wilmington Hoggard     18- 6      12     4    ++     5.14
   316 H Winter Park            10-12      -2    -5    +          
   404 A East Chapel Hill        6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.93
   411 A Durham Riverside       14-10       4     1    +      2.73
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.26 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.61 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/