Region = NC 4A Nickname = C Falcons Coach = Jamie SliwaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.6444092 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 228 A Green Hope NC 4A (12- 6, 92.3) 8- 7 303 A Athens Drive NC 4A ( 3-15, 79.5) 13- 7 307 H St Anne's-Belfield VA 1 VIP (12- 6, 93.9) 3- 9 310 N Archbishop Spalding MD A MIAA ( 9-14, 82.9) 3-11 314 H Apex NC 4A (17- 3, 97.8) 7-11 316 H Winter Park FL 7B Centrl (17- 5, 99.9) 10-12 317 H SouthEast Raleigh NC 4A ( 4-10, 77.0) 17- 2 322 H Durham Academy NC Prvate (12-10, 86.3) 10- 5 323 H Chapel Hill NC 4A (21- 3, 99.6) 11-16 329 A Wilmington New Hanover NC 4A ( 3-11, 74.7) 21- 5 331 A Wilmington Laney NC 4A ( 7- 8, 88.0) 8- 6 404 A East Chapel Hill NC 4A (17- 4, 99.9) 6- 9 405 H Ravenscroft School NC Prvate ( 9-11, 81.9) 14- 5 407 H Northern Durham NC 4A ( 4-16, 74.8) 21- 3 411 A Durham Riverside NC 4A ( 9-10, 91.7) 14-10 418 H Wakefield-Raleigh NC 4A (10- 7, 88.4) 19- 9 420 H Cary-Middle Creek NC 4A ( 1-13, 71.7) 19- 1 425 A Chapel Hill NC 4A (21- 3, 99.6) 7-14 428 H East Chapel Hill NC 4A (17- 4, 99.9) 4-14 502 A Northern Durham NC 4A ( 4-16, 74.8) 15- 4 504 H Durham Riverside NC 4A ( 9-10, 91.7) 10- 9 o 509 H Wilmington Hoggard NC 4A ( 8- 6, 88.7) 18- 6 512 A Greensboro Grimsley NC 4A (16- 5, 94.2) 12- 4 517 N Chapel Hill NC 4A (21- 3, 99.6) 6-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Green Hope 8- 7 1 0 0.28 303 A Athens Drive 13- 7 6 13 -- -4.00 307 H St Anne's-Belfield 3- 9 -6 0 n/a 310 N Archbishop Spalding 3-11 -8 10 n/a 314 H Apex 7-11 -4 -4 0.26 316 H Winter Park 10-12 -2 -5 n/a 317 H SouthEast Raleigh 17- 2 15 16 0.00 322 H Durham Academy 10- 5 5 7 n/a 323 H Chapel Hill 11-16 -5 -6 1.06 329 A Wilmington New Hanover 21- 5 16 18 0.00 331 A Wilmington Laney 8- 6 2 4 - -2.99 404 A East Chapel Hill 6- 9 -3 -6 + 3.93 405 H Ravenscroft School 14- 5 9 11 n/a 407 H Northern Durham 21- 3 18 18 0.00 411 A Durham Riverside 14-10 4 1 + 2.73 418 H Wakefield-Raleigh 19- 9 10 5 ++ 4.83 420 H Cary-Middle Creek 19- 1 18 21 0.00 425 A Chapel Hill 7-14 -7 -6 -0.37 428 H East Chapel Hill 4-14 -10 -6 - -3.64 502 A Northern Durham 15- 4 11 18 0.00 504 H Durham Riverside 10- 9 o 1 1 -0.84 509 H Wilmington Hoggard 18- 6 12 4 ++ 5.14 512 A Greensboro Grimsley 12- 4 8 -1 +++ 9.22 517 N Chapel Hill 6-17 -11 -6 - -3.66UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H St Anne's-Belfield 3- 9 -6 0 --- 310 N Archbishop Spalding 3-11 -8 10 --- 303 A Athens Drive 13- 7 6 13 -- -4.00 322 H Durham Academy 10- 5 5 7 - 331 A Wilmington Laney 8- 6 2 4 - -2.99 428 H East Chapel Hill 4-14 -10 -6 - -3.64 517 N Chapel Hill 6-17 -11 -6 - -3.66OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A Greensboro Grimsley 12- 4 8 -1 +++ 9.22 418 H Wakefield-Raleigh 19- 9 10 5 ++ 4.83 509 H Wilmington Hoggard 18- 6 12 4 ++ 5.14 316 H Winter Park 10-12 -2 -5 + 404 A East Chapel Hill 6- 9 -3 -6 + 3.93 411 A Durham Riverside 14-10 4 1 + 2.73/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.26 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 75.61 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 6 Championship Probability . 5.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 5 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.9 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0