Region = VA    Liberty          
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Hennessey Green       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.2956619    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H Herndon                VA    Concord ( 5- 7, 86.3)    11- 7   
 324 A Westfield              VA    Concord (12- 3, 99.9)     6-13   
 328 H Woodson                VA    Liberty (16- 4, 98.5)     2-10   
 330 A Langley                VA    Liberty (13- 5, 97.5)     5-13   
 418 A Marshall               VA    Liberty ( 4- 9, 79.3)    16- 4   
 421 A McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 4-10, 83.7)     9- 4   
 424 H South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 3- 7, 82.8)    15- 5   
 427 A Stone Bridge           VA    Liberty ( 7- 8, 87.8)    10- 7   
 429 H Northern/Calv Cty      MD 32 East    (12- 4, 89.9)     9- 7   
 503 H Madison                VA    Liberty ( 6-10, 84.9)     7- 6   
 504 A Lake Braddock          VA    Patriot ( 3- 9, 82.5)     6- 0   
 508 H South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 3- 7, 82.8)    11- 5   
 510 N Woodson                VA    Liberty (16- 4, 98.5)     7-13   
 516 A Hayfield               VA    Patriot (12- 5, 91.8)     9- 6   
 518 A Robinson               VA    Concord (15- 6, 98.3)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Herndon                11- 7       4     6    -     -2.22
   324 A Westfield               6-13      -7    -7           0.52
   328 H Woodson                 2-10      -8    -5    -     -2.00
   330 A Langley                 5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.92
   418 A Marshall               16- 4      12    13           0.00
   421 A McLean                  9- 4       5     8    -     -3.67
   424 H South Lakes            15- 5      10     9           0.31
   427 A Stone Bridge           10- 7       3     4          -1.62
   429 H Northern/Calv Cty       9- 7       2     2          n/a  
   503 H Madison                 7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.65
   504 A Lake Braddock           6- 0       6     9    -     -3.83
   508 H South Lakes            11- 5       6     9    -     -3.69
   510 N Woodson                 7-13      -6    -6           0.08
   516 A Hayfield                9- 6       3     0    +      2.43
   518 A Robinson                5-10      -5    -5           0.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Madison                 7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.65
   316 H Herndon                11- 7       4     6    -     -2.22
   328 H Woodson                 2-10      -8    -5    -     -2.00
   330 A Langley                 5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.92
   421 A McLean                  9- 4       5     8    -     -3.67
   504 A Lake Braddock           6- 0       6     9    -     -3.83
   508 H South Lakes            11- 5       6     9    -     -3.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Hayfield                9- 6       3     0    +      2.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.45 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.95 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/