Region = PA Mid 1 Nickname = A Trojans Coach = Ian BakerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.9715881 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 324 N Palmyra PA Mid 1 ( 4-11, 78.5) 4- 2 330 A Ephrata PA LL04 (13- 6, 89.0) 6- 7 401 H Parkland PA PVLL ( 9- 5, 85.5) 2-14 404 A York Suburban PA York 1 ( 4- 9, 74.6) 12- 4 406 A Central Dauphin East PA Mid 1 ( 8- 5, 83.2) 4- 2 408 A South-Western PA York 1 (10- 5, 86.4) 9- 4 411 A Central Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 8- 6, 87.1) 7- 6 o 413 A Red Lion PA York 1 (11- 8, 87.6) 6-10 415 N Havre De Grace MD 21 South (14- 5, 84.6) 9- 1 415 N Red Lion PA York 1 (11- 8, 87.6) 12- 9 418 H Lancaster Country Day PA LL04 (14- 7, 91.9) 14-15 420 H Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 (15- 6, 93.3) 4-12 425 A Harrisburg Academy PA Mid 1 ( 3-13, 75.2) 8- 5 427 H Bishop McDevitt PA Mid 1 ( 7-11, 79.1) 9- 5 502 A Carlisle PA Mid 1 (10- 9, 92.1) 3-14 506 H Central Susquehanna PA CSNLL ( 6-10, 79.5) 13- 4 509 H Warwick PA LL04 (13- 8, 87.9) 10- 6 511 H Conestoga Valley PA LL04 ( 9-10, 86.1) 3- 9 513 H Lower Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 9- 8, 85.2) 9- 8 516 A Elizabethtown PA LL04 ( 0-12, 72.4) 12- 4 525 A Hempfield PA LL04 (15-10, 93.8) 3-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 N Palmyra 4- 2 2 8 --- -6.27 330 A Ephrata 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.16 401 H Parkland 2-14 -12 2 n/a 404 A York Suburban 12- 4 8 11 - -2.00 406 A Central Dauphin East 4- 2 2 2 -0.66 408 A South-Western 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.53 411 A Central Dauphin 7- 6 o 1 -1 + 2.27 413 A Red Lion 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.26 415 N Havre De Grace 9- 1 8 2 n/a 415 N Red Lion 12- 9 3 0 + 3.85 418 H Lancaster Country Day 14-15 -1 -4 + 3.20 420 H Cumberland Valley 4-12 -8 -5 - -2.38 425 A Harrisburg Academy 8- 5 3 10 --- -7.00 427 H Bishop McDevitt 9- 5 4 8 -- -4.54 502 A Carlisle 3-14 -11 -6 - -3.76 506 H Central Susquehanna 13- 4 9 8 0.79 509 H Warwick 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.24 511 H Conestoga Valley 3- 9 -6 1 --- -7.58 513 H Lower Dauphin 9- 8 1 2 -1.48 516 A Elizabethtown 12- 4 8 13 - -2.00 525 A Hempfield 3-13 -10 -7 - -2.09UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 N Palmyra 4- 2 2 8 --- -6.27 401 H Parkland 2-14 -12 2 --- 425 A Harrisburg Academy 8- 5 3 10 --- -7.00 511 H Conestoga Valley 3- 9 -6 1 --- -7.58 427 H Bishop McDevitt 9- 5 4 8 -- -4.54 404 A York Suburban 12- 4 8 11 - -2.00 413 A Red Lion 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.26 420 H Cumberland Valley 4-12 -8 -5 - -2.38 502 A Carlisle 3-14 -11 -6 - -3.76 516 A Elizabethtown 12- 4 8 13 - -2.00 525 A Hempfield 3-13 -10 -7 - -2.09OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A South-Western 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.53 415 N Havre De Grace 9- 1 8 2 ++ 509 H Warwick 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.24 330 A Ephrata 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.16 411 A Central Dauphin 7- 6 o 1 -1 + 2.27 415 N Red Lion 12- 9 3 0 + 3.85 418 H Lancaster Country Day 14-15 -1 -4 + 3.20/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.77 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 66.83 Local SOS Rank............. 10 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 17 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3