Conf = Pitt Region = NJ Grp-IV Nickname = J Raiders Coach = Vince CovielloGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.4221497 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 H St Joseph Metuchen NJ Grp-A (15- 5, 86.7) 7- 8 403 A North Hunterdon NJ Grp-III ( 3-15, 77.5) 10- 6 405 H Immaculata NJ Grp-B (14- 7, 88.6) 9-10 2o 407 A Hun School NJ Private (12- 5, 88.2) 7-14 410 H Montgomery NJ Grp-II (14- 7, 90.6) 11-12 o 412 H Hunterdon Central NJ Grp-IV (15- 8, 90.1) 6- 5 o 418 H Bridgewater-Raritan NJ Grp-IV (11- 9, 87.9) 8-11 425 A Pennington NJ Private ( 1-13, 70.4) 14- 1 427 A Westfield NJ Grp-III (11- 7, 90.0) 8-12 429 A Ridge NJ Grp-III (16- 4, 92.3) 2- 6 503 H Princeton Day NJ Private ( 5-11, 75.6) 18- 8 506 H Watchung Hills NJ Grp-III ( 7-10, 80.6) 9- 5 508 A Bridgewater-Raritan NJ Grp-IV (11- 9, 87.9) 4-11 512 H Voorhees NJ Grp-II (11- 8, 86.3) 8-11 513 A West Windsor-PB So NJ Grp-III ( 9- 9, 82.5) 9- 7 516 H West Windsor-PB No NJ Grp-II ( 6- 9, 75.0) 9- 1 518 H Hopewell Valley Centra NJ Grp-II (16- 4, 88.9) 7- 6 524 H Washington Twp NJ Grp-IV (10-10, 79.0) 15- 4 526 A Eastern Regional NJ Grp-IV (19- 3, 87.9) 9-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H St Joseph Metuchen 7- 8 -1 -1 0.34 403 A North Hunterdon 10- 6 4 6 - -2.35 405 H Immaculata 9-10 2o -1 -3 + 2.23 407 A Hun School 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.62 410 H Montgomery 11-12 o -1 -5 ++ 4.15 412 H Hunterdon Central 6- 5 o 1 -4 ++ 5.64 418 H Bridgewater-Raritan 8-11 -3 -2 -0.50 425 A Pennington 14- 1 13 13 0.00 427 A Westfield 8-12 -4 -6 + 2.14 429 A Ridge 2- 6 -4 -8 ++ 4.48 503 H Princeton Day 18- 8 10 9 0.17 506 H Watchung Hills 9- 5 4 4 -0.85 508 A Bridgewater-Raritan 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.93 512 H Voorhees 8-11 -3 0 - -2.15 513 A West Windsor-PB So 9- 7 2 1 0.63 516 H West Windsor-PB No 9- 1 8 10 - -2.00 518 H Hopewell Valley Centra 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.44 524 H Washington Twp 15- 4 11 6 + 3.61 526 A Eastern Regional 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.02UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A North Hunterdon 10- 6 4 6 - -2.35 407 A Hun School 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.62 508 A Bridgewater-Raritan 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.93 512 H Voorhees 8-11 -3 0 - -2.15 516 H West Windsor-PB No 9- 1 8 10 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Montgomery 11-12 o -1 -5 ++ 4.15 412 H Hunterdon Central 6- 5 o 1 -4 ++ 5.64 429 A Ridge 2- 6 -4 -8 ++ 4.48 518 H Hopewell Valley Centra 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.44 405 H Immaculata 9-10 2o -1 -3 + 2.23 427 A Westfield 8-12 -4 -6 + 2.14 524 H Washington Twp 15- 4 11 6 + 3.61 526 A Eastern Regional 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.02/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.62 Local Power Rank........... 41 Local SOS Rating......... 66.32 Local SOS Rank............. 29 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 51 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 54 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 78 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3